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Game Recap
OTT3
Final/OTThu, Apr 13, 2023Every game that night
BUF4

BUF beat OTT 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.78 expected goals to 2.66. J. Skinner led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). C. Anderson stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
OTT03003
BUF02114
  1. 2nd 0:43BUFH. Jokiharju0.03 xG
  2. 2nd 2:46BUFV. Olofsson0.36 xG
  3. 2nd 4:27OTTT. StützlePP0.06 xG
  4. 2nd 6:11OTTD. Gambrell0.18 xG
  5. 2nd 12:36OTTC. Giroux0.13 xG
  6. 3rd 3:03BUFT. ThompsonPP0.14 xG
  7. OT 1:18BUFC. Mittelstadt0.17 xG

Team Stats

OTTBUF
33Shots on goal36
2.66Expected goals3.78
56Shot attempts68
285v5 shots on goal27
1/3Power play1/4
33Hits10
15Blocked shots11
8Penalty minutes6
8Giveaways7
6Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 2.66 xGBUF 3.78 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 0:43BUF goal, 2:46OTT goal, 4:27OTT goal, 6:11OTT goal, 12:36BUF goal, 3:03BUF goal, 1:18

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT33 on goal, 3 scored
BUF36 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. StützleC112110-1022:533:05
C. GirouxRW1012010020:072:08
B. TkachukLW011640-1019:163:44
D. BathersonRW0110000015:462:21
D. GambrellC101121029:230:00
E. SokolovLW011030006:440:00
A. DeBrincatRW0002010018:113:07
P. BrownC0001300016:090:00
S. PintoC0001100016:090:42
M. JosephRW0000220015:181:20
M. KastelicC0004700011:050:00
J. GauthierRW000031006:470:00
J. SandersonD0117030029:523:39
A. ZubD0001320223:430:00
N. HoldenD000401+1023:130:02
E. BrannstromD0000120220:500:51
T. KlevenD000120-1212:111:21
M. GuenetteD000211-108:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Sogaard36324.88961:18OT loss
C. Talbot000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW033400+1016:543:21
C. MittelstadtC1123000018:333:44
A. TuchRW0115100018:463:58
T. ThompsonC1018110215:433:36
K. OkposoRW011101+1213:110:09
Z. GirgensonsC011000+1012:080:09
V. OlofssonLW101100+1010:573:40
D. CozensC0001000018:583:34
J. QuinnRW000300-1016:203:18
J. PeterkaRW000200-1216:134:00
P. KrebsC0001100015:290:09
J. GreenwayLW0003210012:060:00
R. DahlinD011001+1027:174:06
H. JokiharjuD101303-1023:380:20
O. PowerD000111-1024:003:26
I. LyubushkinD0000220019:150:00
J. BrysonD000010+1010:040:00
R. StillmanD000011+109:540:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson33303.90961:18Win
D. Levi000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.