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Game Recap
OTT6
FinalWed, Mar 27, 2024Every game that night
BUF2

OTT beat BUF 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.76 expected goals to 2.90. S. Pinto led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). J. Korpisalo stopped 34 of 36.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
OTT5016
BUF0202
  1. 1st 2:37OTTA. Zub0.25 xG
  2. 1st 4:56OTTB. Katchouk0.02 xG
  3. 1st 6:01OTTD. Batherson0.25 xG
  4. 1st 8:49OTTJ. Chychrun0.08 xG
  5. 1st 19:11OTTB. Tkachuk0.05 xG
  6. 2nd 2:54BUFJ. Peterka0.10 xG
  7. 2nd 13:07BUFC. Clifton0.04 xG
  8. 3rd 16:43OTTS. PintoEN0.83 xG

Team Stats

OTTBUF
42Shots on goal36
4.76Expected goals2.90
65Shot attempts77
345v5 shots on goal29
0/2Power play0/2
26Hits32
18Blocked shots10
10Penalty minutes10
2Giveaways2
7Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 4.76 xGBUF 2.90 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTT goal, 2:37OTT goal, 4:56OTT goal, 6:01OTT goal, 8:49OTT goal, 19:11BUF goal, 2:54BUF goal, 13:07OTT goal, 16:43

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT41 on goal, 6 scored
BUF36 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. PintoC134420+4015:301:40
B. TkachukLW112451+3016:442:22
D. BathersonRW112210+2016:232:00
M. KastelicC022310+2011:260:00
B. KatchoukLW112210+2010:350:00
P. KellyC011400+2214:160:09
T. StützleC000101-1020:412:44
C. GirouxRW0001100217:401:35
A. CrookshankC000310-1015:080:00
M. JosephRW000320-1012:170:00
R. GreigC000030-1412:100:00
D. KubalikLW0003200010:511:38
J. ChychrunD112503+1223:352:23
A. ZubD101303+1021:110:01
T. ChabotD011111+1014:541:40
J. SandersonD000112+2021:452:20
E. BrannstromD000231+2020:461:17
J. Bernard-DockerD000026+1018:080:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Korpisalo36342.94460:00Win
A. Forsberg000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PeterkaRW101520+2021:381:47
A. TuchRW011230+1218:071:45
T. ThompsonC000330+1019:031:45
J. GreenwayLW000250-1016:541:49
D. CozensC000151-3016:241:56
J. SkinnerLW000530-2016:082:02
J. QuinnRW000140-3015:412:06
P. KrebsC000120-1014:030:00
Z. BensonLW000000-2011:390:00
Z. GirgensonsC000310-2011:100:19
V. OlofssonLW000010-108:050:09
E. RobinsonLW000200-107:350:09
J. BrysonD022010+1015:010:00
C. CliftonD1013100016:390:00
O. PowerD000003-2023:161:48
R. DahlinD000213-2422:532:12
H. JokiharjuD000402-3021:210:09
B. ByramD000201-2419:202:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen954.5568:49Loss
D. Levi32311.96950:14

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20251 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.