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Game Recap
OTT2
Final/OTTue, Apr 4, 2023Every game that night
CAR3

CAR beat OTT 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.63 expected goals to 2.70. CAR outshot OTT 37 to 28. B. Skjei led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Raanta stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
OTT01102
CAR20013
  1. 1st 1:50CARJ. Kotkaniemi0.05 xG
  2. 1st 15:58CARB. SkjeiPP0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 10:39OTTC. Giroux0.24 xG
  4. 3rd 2:52OTTB. TkachukPP0.28 xG
  5. OT 4:19CARM. Necas0.10 xG

Team Stats

OTTCAR
28Shots on goal37
2.70Expected goals3.63
58Shot attempts71
255v5 shots on goal25
1/4Power play1/5
21Hits13
16Blocked shots12
8Penalty minutes8
4Giveaways8
4Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 2.70 xGCAR 3.63 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 1:50CAR goal, 15:58OTT goal, 10:39OTT goal, 2:52CAR goal, 4:19

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT28 on goal, 2 scored
CAR36 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. DeBrincatRW022301+1019:144:48
D. BathersonRW0114010021:385:22
B. TkachukLW101350-1021:195:26
C. GirouxRW1014000218:402:26
R. GreigC011120+1013:482:11
T. StützleC0004200026:164:54
S. PintoC000402-1014:471:49
A. WatsonLW0001120013:430:12
P. BrownC0001420412:400:15
M. JosephRW000200-109:050:09
M. KastelicC000010008:400:13
E. SokolovLW000010-107:121:34
J. SandersonD0000110230:345:01
A. ZubD0000300022:310:01
E. BrannstromD0000030019:582:03
N. HoldenD0001110019:510:00
J. Bernard-DockerD000000-1012:110:16
T. KlevenD0000030011:420:20
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Meriläinen37343.91963:41OT loss
C. Talbot000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. NoesenRW022521+1013:083:57
J. KotkaniemiC112220+1012:572:19
M. NecasC101500+1021:365:36
S. JarvisRW0111100018:562:22
S. AhoC0002000224:065:38
J. StaalC0001000020:243:34
J. MartinookLW0002000215:230:00
J. FastRW0002020215:070:00
J. DruryC0001000015:032:34
J. PuljujarviRW000230+1010:030:00
P. StastnyC000100-107:410:00
D. StepanC000111-106:560:00
B. SkjeiD1123100023:532:29
B. BurnsD0111010025:415:32
J. SlavinD0002110021:300:12
B. PesceD0004020221:280:00
S. GostisbehereD000213+1017:385:27
J. ChatfieldD0000110014:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta28262.92964:19Win
F. Andersen000–0:00