Game Recap: OTT 3, SJS 2, November 22, 2025

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Game Recap

OTT3

FinalSat, Nov 22, 2025Every game that night

SJS2

OTT beat SJS 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.33 expected goals to 2.08. OTT outshot SJS 27 to 19. T. Stützle led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). L. Ullmark stopped 17 of 19.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
OTT	1	1	1	3
SJS	1	1	0	2

1st 7:50OTTD. CozensPP0.08 xG
1st 16:06SJSJ. KlingbergPP0.02 xG
2nd 7:47SJSB. Goodrow0.24 xG
2nd 18:38OTTF. Zetterlund0.09 xG
3rd 13:22OTTT. Stützle0.29 xG

Team Stats

OTTSJS

27Shots on goal19

3.33Expected goals2.08

57Shot attempts37

225v5 shots on goal11

1/5Power play1/5

19Hits23

9Blocked shots14

15Penalty minutes13

9Giveaways19

3Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 3.33 xGSJS 2.08 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT27 on goal, 3 scored

SJS19 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Stützle	C	1	1	2	4	6	1	0	2	22:16	5:08
D. Batherson	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	18:02	4:15
D. Cozens	C	1	0	1	4	2	0	+1	0	17:21	4:26
F. Zetterlund	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	15:55	3:05
N. Cousins	C	0	1	1	1	2	1	+1	0	8:55	0:00
S. Pinto	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	20:28	1:45
C. Giroux	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	18:47	3:47
L. Eller	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	2	17:28	1:14
M. Amadio	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	16:33	0:47
D. Perron	LW	0	0	0	3	1	0	-1	0	12:57	3:56
S. Halliday	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5:17	1:26
H. Hodgson	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	+1	7	3:13	0:00
J. Sanderson	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	+1	0	25:46	4:40
T. Kleven	D	0	1	1	0	0	2	+1	0	15:39	0:03
A. Zub	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	22:05	0:33
T. Chabot	D	0	0	0	3	2	1	-1	0	21:45	3:10
J. Spence	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	2	14:56	1:10
N. Jensen	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	13:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Ullmark	19	17	2	.895	59:45	Win
L. Meriläinen	0	0	0	–	0:00

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Wennberg	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	+1	0	23:45	6:26
M. Celebrini	C	0	1	1	2	0	1	-1	0	22:13	7:31
W. Smith	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	21:27	6:34
B. Goodrow	C	1	0	1	1	2	2	-1	0	12:33	0:00
W. Eklund	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	20:56	6:46
P. Kurashev	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	14:52	1:34
T. Dellandrea	C	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	14:52	0:20
C. Graf	RW	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	14:43	0:49
T. Toffoli	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	13:41	1:59
A. Gaudette	RW	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	10:31	1:42
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	2	8:43	0:00
R. Reaves	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	5	8:08	0:00
J. Klingberg	D	1	0	1	3	0	2	0	2	21:54	6:41
M. Ferraro	D	0	1	1	1	2	1	+1	0	18:59	0:00
D. Orlov	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	18:20	1:59
V. Desharnais	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:05	0:00
T. Liljegren	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	15:37	0:12
S. Mukhamadullin	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:50	0:02

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Nedeljkovic	27	24	3	.889	57:29	Loss
Y. Askarov	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

OTT

Line 1D. Batherson12:57T. Stützle11:51D. Perron8:45

Line 2F. Zetterlund12:50D. Cozens12:34L. Eller13:35

Line 3M. Amadio12:31S. Pinto11:31C. Giroux8:27

Line 4N. Cousins8:40H. Hodgson3:13S. Halliday3:49

Pair 1A. Zub13:59J. Sanderson13:55

Pair 2N. Jensen13:06T. Chabot14:35

Pair 3T. Kleven11:57J. Spence13:30

SJS

Line 1W. Smith12:16M. Celebrini11:49P. Kurashev11:11

Line 2A. Wennberg11:55W. Eklund11:40T. Toffoli9:27

Line 3T. Dellandrea9:45C. Graf9:24A. Gaudette8:33

Line 4B. Goodrow8:56Z. Ostapchuk7:58R. Reaves7:53

Pair 1S. Mukhamadullin12:49V. Desharnais12:30

Pair 2D. Orlov14:30T. Liljegren13:23

Pair 3J. Klingberg14:42M. Ferraro13:04

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamWilliam Eklund OTT First game back in San Jose, his team until Apr 20260 SOG
Old teamAdam Gaudette SJS Faces OTT, his team until May 20250 SOG
Old teamFabian Zetterlund OTT Faces SJS, his team until Mar 20251 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	OTT 3.3, SJS 2.7	OTT 3, SJS 2
Total goals	6.0	5
Shots on goal	OTT 28.7, SJS 25.0	OTT 27, SJS 19
Win chance	OTT 59%	OTT won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
SJS M. Celebrini	3.0	2	1.02	1	32%	0
SJS T. Toffoli	2.4	1	0.64	0	29%	0
OTT D. Batherson	2.3	1	0.87	1	28%	0
OTT J. Sanderson	2.3	2	0.66	1	12%	0
OTT T. Stützle	2.3	4	0.99	2	30%	1
OTT D. Cozens	2.3	4	0.68	1	24%	1
OTT S. Pinto	2.3	1	0.69	0	29%	0
SJS W. Eklund	2.1	0	0.75	0	22%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.0	2	0.82	1	26%	0
OTT F. Zetterlund	1.9	2	0.42	1	18%	1
OTT C. Giroux	1.9	1	0.75	0	24%	0
OTT T. Chabot	1.7	3	0.56	0	12%	0
OTT D. Perron	1.6	3	0.57	0	23%	0
SJS P. Kurashev	1.5	1	0.52	0	18%	0
SJS J. Klingberg	1.5	3	0.51	1	10%	1
SJS D. Orlov	1.4	1	0.46	0	8%	0
SJS A. Gaudette	1.4	0	0.39	0	20%	0
OTT M. Amadio	1.4	2	0.48	0	22%	0
OTT J. Spence	1.3	0	0.48	0	7%	0
OTT T. Kleven	1.3	0	0.19	1	5%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.2	2	0.55	1	18%	0
OTT L. Eller	1.2	2	0.31	0	13%	0
SJS T. Liljegren	1.1	1	0.32	0	7%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	1.1	2	0.28	0	10%	0
OTT A. Zub	1.1	0	0.34	0	7%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.1	1	0.38	0	14%	0
OTT N. Cousins	1.0	1	0.26	1	11%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.0	1	0.22	1	5%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	0.9	0	0.27	0	4%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.9	1	0.18	1	10%	1
OTT N. Jensen	0.8	0	0.24	0	4%	0
OTT H. Hodgson	0.8	0	0.22	0	9%	0
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.6	1	0.09	0	6%	0
SJS R. Reaves	0.6	0	0.14	0	7%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.6	0	0.11	0	1%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.