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Game Recap
OTT1
FinalSat, Oct 16, 2021Every game that night
TOR3

TOR beat OTT 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 2.93 expected goals to 1.79. TOR outshot OTT 29 to 21. A. Kerfoot led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Campbell stopped 20 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
OTT0101
TOR2013
  1. 1st 2:12TORW. Simmonds0.11 xG
  2. 1st 8:06TORA. Kerfoot0.04 xG
  3. 2nd 17:42OTTJ. NorrisPP0.02 xG
  4. 3rd 7:57TORM. Bunting0.07 xG

Team Stats

OTTTOR
21Shots on goal29
1.79Expected goals2.93
43Shot attempts68
185v5 shots on goal20
1/2Power play0/3
37Hits29
22Blocked shots9
6Penalty minutes4
12Giveaways14
9Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

OTT 1.79 xGTOR 2.93 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdTOR goal, 2:12TOR goal, 8:06OTT goal, 17:42TOR goal, 7:57

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

OTT19 on goal, 1 scored
TOR29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. BathersonRW0111110018:561:21
J. NorrisC1013210018:391:21
T. EnnisRW011220-1013:171:21
T. StützleC0002130020:351:21
C. BrownRW000100-2020:111:04
S. PintoC000100-1018:121:04
C. TierneyC000012-1015:161:04
N. PaulLW000110-1013:240:08
A. FormentonLW0001200013:170:08
Z. SanfordLW000131-1013:141:04
P. KellyC000020-127:510:08
L. ShawRW000020-105:540:00
T. ChabotD0003430228:131:32
A. ZubD0001300022:490:08
V. MeteD000112-3017:371:01
N. HoldenD0001320017:210:00
N. ZaitsevD000142-3215:550:00
J. BrownD0001550015:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg29263.89757:29Loss
F. Gustavsson000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KerfootC112110+2014:430:00
W. NylanderRW011400+1017:173:30
M. BuntingLW101341+2015:201:06
W. SimmondsRW101130+1010:450:45
M. MarnerRW0002000020:374:17
J. TavaresC0004300019:543:48
D. KampfC0000000016:410:00
N. RitchieLW0001600216:042:16
P. EngvallLW0003200214:511:24
O. KaseRW000010+1014:040:00
J. SpezzaC000112+1012:112:25
M. AmadioRW000220+109:580:00
R. SandinD011230+2017:501:36
T. DermottD011010+2015:220:00
T. LiljegrenD0110020014:520:00
M. RiellyD000411+1025:493:18
T. BrodieD000001+1020:580:00
J. MuzzinD0001120020:110:05
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Campbell21201.95260:00Win
A. Bishop000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamNick Paul TOR Faces OTT, his team until Mar 20221 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.