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Game Recap
PIT2
FinalFri, Nov 24, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat PIT 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 5.02 expected goals to 2.55. J. Skinner led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 31 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
PIT1102
BUF0033
  1. 1st 16:46PITS. Crosby0.01 xG
  2. 2nd 16:44PITL. Eller0.25 xG
  3. 3rd 5:13BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.15 xG
  4. 3rd 10:52BUFK. Okposo0.01 xG
  5. 3rd 17:16BUFA. Tuch0.31 xG

Team Stats

PITBUF
33Shots on goal34
2.55Expected goals5.02
57Shot attempts71
265v5 shots on goal25
0/2Power play1/4
24Hits21
12Blocked shots12
12Penalty minutes8
3Giveaways5
4Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 2.55 xGBUF 5.02 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdPIT goal, 16:46PIT goal, 16:44BUF goal, 5:13BUF goal, 10:52BUF goal, 17:16

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT33 on goal, 2 scored
BUF32 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GuentzelC0111100220:582:27
S. CrosbyC1015100019:142:26
L. EllerC1013020014:260:01
M. NietoLW011010+108:160:01
E. MalkinC0002010220:581:53
R. SmithRW0002100219:081:32
D. O'ConnorLW0001210017:310:00
A. NylanderLW0004200016:011:47
V. HinostrozaC000100-1014:032:06
R. ZohornaLW000230-1012:452:12
N. AcciariC000121+108:250:01
J. CarterC000100006:331:28
E. KarlssonD0003120224:482:31
K. LetangD0005100224:381:29
M. PetterssonD000043-1022:230:05
R. GravesD000011+1219:130:01
R. SheaD0001100013:220:00
J. LudvigD0001310011:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Nedeljkovic34313.91258:45Loss
T. Jarry000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW1124100225:014:15
J. SkinnerLW112801+1021:574:22
V. OlofssonLW0221000014:092:56
C. MittelstadtC0111000024:014:24
K. OkposoRW101500+1014:280:29
D. CozensC000200-1018:080:27
Z. BensonLW0000000014:320:31
J. PeterkaRW000300-1013:541:29
P. KrebsC000000+1213:120:02
T. JostC000120-1011:510:00
Z. GirgensonsC000110006:350:00
R. DahlinD011244-1026:074:28
M. SamuelssonD000142+1220:470:19
O. PowerD000102-1217:390:24
C. CliftonD0000400014:370:00
R. JohnsonD0001010012:390:00
E. JohnsonD0003410012:200:07
H. JokiharjuD000011+1012:130:02
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen33312.93959:50Win
D. Levi000–0:00