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Game Recap
PIT2
Final/OTSat, Jan 13, 2024Every game that night
CAR3

CAR beat PIT 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.94 expected goals to 2.76. B. Pesce led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Raanta stopped 38 of 40.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
PIT00202
CAR20013
  1. 1st 6:12CARB. Pesce0.06 xG
  2. 1st 9:04CARJ. Martinook0.28 xG
  3. 3rd 6:45PITJ. Guentzel0.15 xG
  4. 3rd 19:07PITB. Rust0.10 xG
  5. OT 1:41CARB. Pesce0.04 xG

Team Stats

PITCAR
40Shots on goal35
2.76Expected goals3.94
64Shot attempts60
315v5 shots on goal29
0/4Power play0/3
19Hits19
9Blocked shots16
8Penalty minutes8
7Giveaways14
6Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 2.76 xGCAR 3.94 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 6:12CAR goal, 9:04PIT goal, 6:45PIT goal, 19:07CAR goal, 1:41

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT39 on goal, 2 scored
CAR34 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. RustRW112310+2220:342:13
J. GuentzelC1017010224:094:32
S. CrosbyC011621+2024:044:27
E. MalkinC0000100020:424:42
R. RakellRW0000020017:523:25
D. O'ConnorLW0003000017:280:00
J. CarterC0002100014:581:12
L. EllerC000101-2013:421:17
J. HarkinsC000220009:470:00
C. WhiteC000000007:210:00
V. PuustinenRW000201-207:040:57
R. ZohornaLW000010-104:260:01
K. LetangD011131+2024:401:12
E. KarlssonD011611-1223:594:34
M. PetterssonD000210+1022:570:19
C. RuhwedelD000441-1015:260:00
R. GravesD000120-1015:250:00
P. JosephD000000-1213:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry35323.91460:50OT loss
A. Nedeljkovic000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC0113010021:212:42
A. SvechnikovRW011231-1421:112:44
S. JarvisRW011430+2020:252:47
T. TeravainenC0114030018:261:12
J. MartinookLW101401+1216:140:06
J. StaalC0001500018:390:00
J. KotkaniemiC0000000012:421:31
S. NoesenRW0000100012:321:20
M. BuntingLW0001000011:271:33
J. DruryC000100009:151:33
J. FastRW000110009:060:00
B. LemieuxLW000120005:250:00
B. PesceD202502+1019:360:07
J. ChatfieldD011110+1014:510:00
B. SkjeiD0001040023:391:17
B. BurnsD000320-1222:272:54
J. SlavinD000112-1021:130:08
D. OrlovD000202+1016:340:06
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta40382.95061:41Win
Y. Perets000–0:00