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Game Recap
PIT10
FinalSat, Nov 4, 2023Every game that night
SJS2

PIT beat SJS 10-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.25 expected goals to 2.06. PIT outshot SJS 35 to 26. J. Guentzel led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). T. Jarry stopped 24 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
PIT25310
SJS0112
  1. 1st 1:30PITR. SmithPP0.07 xG
  2. 1st 12:55PITR. Smith0.19 xG
  3. 2nd 3:21PITJ. Guentzel0.25 xG
  4. 2nd 4:26PITV. Hinostroza0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 8:34SJSA. DuclairPP0.19 xG
  6. 2nd 9:12PITE. Malkin0.13 xG
  7. 2nd 9:27PITK. Letang0.13 xG
  8. 2nd 11:53PITM. Nieto0.34 xG
  9. 3rd 0:49PITB. Rust0.20 xG
  10. 3rd 9:20SJSJ. MacDonaldPP0.04 xG
  11. 3rd 11:02PITE. MalkinPP0.08 xG
  12. 3rd 12:10PITJ. Guentzel0.18 xG

Team Stats

PITSJS
35Shots on goal26
3.25Expected goals2.06
63Shot attempts54
315v5 shots on goal19
2/4Power play2/6
16Hits45
12Blocked shots21
12Penalty minutes8
4Giveaways8
11Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

PIT 3.25 xGSJS 2.06 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdPIT goal, 1:30PIT goal, 12:55PIT goal, 3:21PIT goal, 4:26SJS goal, 8:34PIT goal, 9:12PIT goal, 9:27PIT goal, 11:53PIT goal, 0:49SJS goal, 9:20PIT goal, 11:02PIT goal, 12:10

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

PIT34 on goal, 10 scored
SJS26 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GuentzelC224400+4217:192:16
B. RustRW134400+5016:180:15
R. SmithRW224300+2014:532:33
E. MalkinC202210+2215:192:41
R. RakellRW022620+1014:260:48
V. HinostrozaC112211+2210:300:55
S. CrosbyC011111+4216:092:14
N. AcciariC011421+2014:560:52
M. NietoLW101110+2013:460:47
L. EllerC0000010015:400:47
D. O'ConnorLW0002110012:340:50
R. ZohornaLW0000100011:180:58
E. KarlssonD022102+5218:112:40
K. LetangD101103+2023:021:37
M. PetterssonD011110+5219:550:49
P. JosephD011110+1018:001:59
R. GravesD000231+2022:180:00
R. SheaD000011+1016:000:24
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Jarry26242.92359:06Win
M. Hellberg000–0:00

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. HertlC022111-4021:496:53
A. DuclairLW112610-2218:486:29
M. GranlundC000200-1020:526:26
W. EklundLW000101-2020:216:14
F. ZetterlundLW000234-2015:532:02
N. SturmC000230-2015:140:00
L. KuninC000020-2414:462:07
M. HoffmanC0001110014:132:10
R. CarpenterC000100-1012:270:00
F. ZadinaRW000110-2012:071:46
G. SmithRW000040-208:130:00
J. MacDonaldD112310-4012:454:32
K. BurroughsD000251-3023:314:11
M. FerraroD000145-3020:300:25
N. KnyzhovD000135-1217:000:08
M. VlasicD000133-1015:390:00
N. OkhotiukD000190-4015:170:00
J. RuttaD000040-4015:070:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Blackwood18126.66729:27Loss
M. Chrona17134.76530:30

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamErik Karlsson PIT Faces SJS, his team until Apr 20232 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.