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Game Recap
SEA3
ANA2
SEA beat ANA 3-2, with the chances close: 1.76 expected goals to 2.14. S. Wright led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Daccord stopped 21 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| ANA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
- 1st 7:12SEAS. Wright0.02 xG
- 1st 15:59ANAT. Zegras0.17 xG
- 2nd 6:17ANAF. Vatrano0.03 xG
- 3rd 0:46SEAA. Burakovsky0.08 xG
- 3rd 1:10SEAB. Montour0.03 xG
Team Stats
SEAANA
28Shots on goal23
1.76Expected goals2.14
66Shot attempts45
225v5 shots on goal15
0/3Power play0/1
15Hits32
13Blocked shots17
6Penalty minutes10
15Giveaways14
3Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SEA 1.76 xGANA 2.14 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wright | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 10:53 | 2:08 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:15 | 3:31 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:07 | 2:35 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:43 | 2:28 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 | 3:08 |
| C. Stephenson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:28 | 3:07 |
| M. Beniers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:54 | 2:45 |
| Y. Gourde | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:32 | 0:08 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0:15 |
| D. Sprong | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 3:30 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:11 | 0:02 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 11:07 | 0:00 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:51 | 1:54 |
| B. Montour | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:38 | 4:04 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 24:56 | 0:25 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:26 | 0:00 |
| J. Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0:00 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 59:28 | Win |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
ANA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Terry | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:19 | 1:56 |
| F. Vatrano | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:28 | 1:56 |
| T. Zegras | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 1:56 |
| R. Strome | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 1:56 |
| M. McTavish | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:49 | 0:04 |
| I. Lundestrom | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 0:00 |
| B. Leason | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:56 | 0:04 |
| A. Killorn | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 | 0:04 |
| C. Gauthier | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:02 | 0:00 |
| J. Harkins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0:00 |
| R. Johnston | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0:00 |
| L. Carlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:28 | 0:00 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:28 | 0:04 |
| O. Zellweger | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 1:56 |
| R. Gudas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 20:24 | 0:00 |
| P. Mintyukov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:58 | 0:04 |
| J. LaCombe | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0:00 |
| D. Helleson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA 3.1, ANA 2.6 | SEA 3, ANA 2 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | SEA 29.8, ANA 26.3 | SEA 28, ANA 23 |
| Win chance | SEA 57% | SEA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA F. Vatrano | 2.9 | 5 | 0.60 | 1 | 28% | 1 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.9 | 3 | 0.95 | 1 | 35% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.7 | 3 | 0.65 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| SEA D. Sprong | 2.3 | 2 | 0.60 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 2.3 | 1 | 0.64 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| SEA O. Bjorkstrand | 2.3 | 3 | 0.68 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| ANA T. Terry | 2.1 | 2 | 0.71 | 2 | 27% | 0 |
| ANA T. Zegras | 2.0 | 4 | 0.63 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| ANA C. Gauthier | 2.0 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| ANA A. Killorn | 1.8 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.8 | 2 | 0.60 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| ANA M. McTavish | 1.7 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.7 | 2 | 0.54 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| ANA O. Zellweger | 1.7 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| ANA R. Strome | 1.6 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA Y. Gourde | 1.6 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| ANA L. Carlsson | 1.6 | 2 | 0.51 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.6 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.5 | 1 | 0.41 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA B. Tanev | 1.4 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 1.4 | 2 | 0.43 | 2 | 8% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.4 | 0 | 0.79 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| ANA B. Leason | 1.3 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| ANA P. Mintyukov | 1.3 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 1.3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 1.1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| ANA R. Gudas | 1.1 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| ANA B. Dumoulin | 1.1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA W. Borgen | 1.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| ANA D. Helleson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| ANA I. Lundestrom | 0.9 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| SEA J. Mahura | 0.9 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| ANA J. LaCombe | 0.9 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| ANA J. Harkins | 0.8 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SEA S. Wright | 0.8 | 1 | 0.27 | 2 | 14% | 1 |
| ANA R. Johnston | 0.6 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.