Game Recap: SEA 2, NJD 3 (OT), January 14, 2026

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Game Recap

SEA2

Final/OTWed, Jan 14, 2026Every game that night

NJD3

NJD beat SEA 3-2 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.85 expected goals to 2.66. NJD outshot SEA 26 to 17. N. Hischier led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Markstrom stopped 15 of 17.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
SEA	1	1	0	0	2
NJD	1	1	0	1	3

1st 0:54NJDC. Glass0.32 xG
1st 8:55SEAA. Larsson0.14 xG
2nd 3:33NJDN. HischierPP0.08 xG
2nd 5:06SEAJ. McCannPP0.18 xG
OT 3:42NJDN. Hischier0.42 xG

Team Stats

SEANJD

17Shots on goal26

2.66Expected goals2.85

47Shot attempts60

125v5 shots on goal22

1/2Power play1/2

20Hits14

17Blocked shots12

4Penalty minutes4

17Giveaways14

3Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SEA 2.66 xGNJD 2.85 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SEA17 on goal, 2 scored

NJD26 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. McCann	LW	1	1	2	2	1	1	+1	0	16:06	1:54
J. Eberle	RW	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	20:30	1:56
M. Beniers	C	0	0	0	1	0	3	-1	0	21:26	1:57
C. Stephenson	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	19:22	2:01
F. Gaudreau	C	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	16:27	0:09
K. Kakko	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	16:03	0:00
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	15:42	0:00
J. Schwartz	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	14:52	0:00
S. Wright	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	12:19	0:08
B. Catton	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	12:13	0:11
B. Meyers	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	12:10	0:00
R. Winterton	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:38	0:00
V. Dunn	D	0	2	2	2	1	1	+1	0	24:17	1:54
A. Larsson	D	1	0	1	3	1	3	+1	2	22:47	0:00
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	21:47	0:00
C. Fleury	D	0	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	21:23	0:00
R. Evans	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	16:47	0:11
J. Oleksiak	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	14:54	0:04

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
P. Grubauer	26	23	3	.885	63:42	OT loss
J. Daccord	0	0	0	–	0:00

NJD Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Hughes	C	0	2	2	2	0	1	+1	0	26:45	1:39
N. Hischier	C	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	19:01	1:37
C. Glass	C	1	0	1	2	2	0	+1	2	14:19	0:44
T. Meier	RW	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	19:07	0:44
D. Mercer	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	18:48	1:39
J. Bratt	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	18:20	0:46
C. Brown	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	16:16	0:00
A. Gritsyuk	RW	0	0	0	3	1	0	+1	0	15:18	1:37
O. Palat	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	12:54	0:00
P. Cotter	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	9:12	0:00
E. Dadonov	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	8:49	0:00
L. Glendening	C	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7:56	0:00
L. Hughes	D	0	2	2	1	0	0	+1	0	23:28	1:38
D. Hamilton	D	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	2	22:05	0:45
B. Pesce	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	19:44	0:00
S. Nemec	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	19:33	0:46
J. Siegenthaler	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	19:29	0:00
B. Dillon	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	18:08	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Markstrom	17	15	2	.882	63:31	Win
J. Allen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SEA

Line 1J. Eberle17:04M. Beniers17:42K. Kakko16:03

Line 2C. Stephenson15:25E. Tolvanen14:25J. Schwartz14:14

Line 3B. Catton12:02J. McCann13:24S. Wright11:06

Line 4F. Gaudreau13:53B. Meyers11:00R. Winterton9:27

Pair 1A. Larsson22:24V. Dunn20:23

Pair 2R. Lindgren19:56C. Fleury19:57

Pair 3J. Oleksiak14:06R. Evans14:14

NJD

Line 1T. Meier17:33J. Hughes22:39J. Bratt15:59

Line 2N. Hischier15:35D. Mercer15:15O. Palat12:54

Line 3C. Brown15:28A. Gritsyuk13:20C. Glass13:26

Line 4E. Dadonov8:38P. Cotter9:01L. Glendening5:54

Pair 1D. Hamilton20:06J. Siegenthaler19:15

Pair 2B. Pesce17:41L. Hughes19:30

Pair 3B. Dillon16:17S. Nemec18:14

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

BirthdayBerkly Catton SEA Turns 20 that day2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SEA 3.0, NJD 3.2	SEA 2, NJD 3
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	SEA 26.0, NJD 31.5	SEA 17, NJD 26
Win chance	NJD 55%	NJD won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NJD J. Hughes	3.9	2	1.12	2	37%	0
NJD T. Meier	3.1	3	0.67	0	30%	0
NJD D. Hamilton	2.8	3	0.51	1	12%	0
NJD N. Hischier	2.7	3	0.88	2	32%	2
NJD J. Bratt	2.5	0	0.90	0	26%	0
SEA J. McCann	2.4	2	0.69	2	28%	1
NJD A. Gritsyuk	2.2	3	0.43	0	17%	0
NJD L. Hughes	2.1	1	0.59	2	9%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	2.0	0	0.51	0	23%	0
SEA V. Dunn	2.0	2	0.55	2	11%	0
SEA J. Eberle	1.9	1	0.57	1	22%	0
NJD D. Mercer	1.9	1	0.49	0	22%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.8	0	0.51	0	22%	0
SEA M. Beniers	1.8	1	0.55	0	21%	0
NJD S. Nemec	1.6	3	0.44	0	11%	0
NJD C. Glass	1.6	2	0.35	1	15%	1
NJD C. Brown	1.5	0	0.42	0	16%	0
SEA K. Kakko	1.5	1	0.47	0	17%	0
NJD B. Pesce	1.4	1	0.26	0	5%	0
SEA F. Gaudreau	1.3	0	0.41	0	18%	0
SEA B. Catton	1.3	2	0.33	0	14%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.3	3	0.29	1	7%	1
SEA S. Wright	1.3	2	0.43	0	18%	0
SEA C. Fleury	1.3	1	0.13	0	4%	0
SEA C. Stephenson	1.2	1	0.63	0	20%	0
SEA B. Meyers	1.2	0	0.22	0	12%	0
NJD E. Dadonov	1.2	2	0.36	0	15%	0
NJD J. Siegenthaler	1.0	0	0.17	0	3%	0
SEA R. Winterton	1.0	0	0.20	0	8%	0
NJD O. Palat	1.0	0	0.28	0	13%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	0.9	0	0.19	0	4%	0
SEA R. Lindgren	0.9	1	0.24	0	4%	0
NJD P. Cotter	0.9	0	0.22	0	12%	0
SEA R. Evans	0.8	0	0.29	0	6%	0
NJD B. Dillon	0.7	2	0.21	0	4%	0
NJD L. Glendening	0.6	0	0.11	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.