Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
SJS3
FinalThu, Jan 6, 2022Every game that night
BUF2

SJS beat BUF 3-2 despite fewer good chances: 1.87 expected goals to 2.54. BUF outshot SJS 39 to 21. T. Hertl led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Hill stopped 37 of 39.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
SJS3003
BUF0112
  1. 1st 12:27SJSM. Nieto0.15 xG
  2. 1st 13:44SJST. Meier0.02 xG
  3. 1st 17:24SJST. Hertl0.08 xG
  4. 2nd 7:56BUFJ. Skinner0.10 xG
  5. 3rd 18:15BUFZ. GirgensonsPP0.15 xG

Team Stats

SJSBUF
21Shots on goal39
1.87Expected goals2.54
34Shot attempts68
195v5 shots on goal28
0/1Power play1/3
16Hits10
21Blocked shots7
11Penalty minutes7
3Giveaways5
1Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 1.87 xGBUF 2.54 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdSJS goal, 12:27SJS goal, 13:44SJS goal, 17:24BUF goal, 7:56BUF goal, 18:15

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS20 on goal, 3 scored
BUF37 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. HertlC112202+1020:401:03
N. BoninoC011102+1021:111:03
T. MeierRW101402+1020:071:14
A. BarabanovLW011100+1018:491:14
M. NietoLW101210+1018:200:00
A. CoglianoC011011+1216:230:00
J. WeatherbyC0001010013:520:57
N. GregorLW0001110013:380:46
J. DahlenC0002000011:180:46
J. GadjovichLW000120057:490:00
S. ReedyC000001007:410:47
J. VielLW000120007:220:00
M. FerraroD011232+1024:320:10
B. BurnsD000101+1026:341:30
M. VlasicD000102+1218:500:00
R. SimekD0001610018:200:00
J. MegnaD0000040216:240:00
R. MerkleyD000001+1013:460:30
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Hill39372.94960:00Win
Z. Sawchenko000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC011511-1018:272:54
V. OlofssonLW011400-1018:043:07
J. SkinnerLW101300-1217:592:54
Z. GirgensonsC1013200014:332:37
D. CozensC000200-1019:041:54
V. HinostrozaC000001-1018:430:13
R. AsplundC000400-1018:411:28
M. JankowskiLW0001010013:590:00
B. MurrayLW0000000013:391:34
J. HaydenC0001100510:470:02
C. EakinC0000000010:260:00
R. MacInnisC0002000010:000:00
R. DahlinD0115100028:473:07
H. JokiharjuD0006210022:500:00
W. ButcherD000001-1020:441:17
M. PysykD000102-1019:040:09
C. MillerD000230-1014:231:08
E. ProwD000000-109:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen21183.85757:54Loss
M. Subban000–0:00