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Game Recap
SJS6
OTT2
SJS beat OTT 6-2 despite fewer good chances: 3.50 expected goals to 4.67. OTT outshot SJS 43 to 28. C. Graf led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). F. Zetterlund had 9 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. Y. Askarov stopped 41 of 43.
Team Stats
SJSOTT
28Shots on goal43
3.50Expected goals4.67
51Shot attempts91
235v5 shots on goal34
1/2Power play0/3
27Hits20
17Blocked shots9
6Penalty minutes4
24Giveaways13
4Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SJS 3.50 xGOTT 4.67 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Graf | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:32 | 0:49 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 1:30 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:26 | 0:00 |
| M. Misa | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 1:26 |
| I. Stenberg | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 1:55 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:41 | 0:00 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:06 | 1:17 |
| Z. Ostapchuk | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:00 | 0:00 |
| M. Celebrini | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23:11 | 2:32 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:54 | 1:59 |
| M. Marchment | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 2:05 |
| I. Chernyshov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 4:54 | 0:00 |
| J. Trouba | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 23:47 | 1:20 |
| D. Nurse | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0:00 |
| S. Dickinson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:47 | 0:00 |
| D. Orlov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:51 | 2:05 |
| N. Allan | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:34 | 0:07 |
| M. Kesselring | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 60:00 | Win |
| A. Nedeljkovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
OTT Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Stützle | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 22:54 | 4:22 |
| D. Batherson | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:14 | 4:22 |
| F. Zetterlund | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 | 1:31 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0:06 |
| S. Pinto | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:17 | 1:35 |
| R. Greig | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:07 | 1:38 |
| C. Giroux | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18:44 | 3:21 |
| D. Cozens | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:17 | 4:27 |
| S. Halliday | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 15:20 | 4:19 |
| M. Amadio | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0:00 |
| N. Cousins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0:00 |
| H. Hodgson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:03 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:07 |
| N. Matinpalo | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 | 0:00 |
| J. Sanderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 2 | 26:09 | 4:22 |
| A. Zub | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:11 | 0:00 |
| C. Yakemchuk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17:53 | 1:38 |
| T. Kleven | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:02 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ersson | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 56:06 | Loss |
| J. Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
SJS
Line 1M. Celebrini19:18W. Smith14:55C. Graf14:41
Line 2K. Sherwood14:16M. Misa11:33I. Stenberg11:47
Line 3T. Toffoli9:49M. Marchment12:09T. Dellandrea12:23
Line 4B. Goodrow10:16Z. Ostapchuk9:04
Pair 1J. Trouba17:38S. Dickinson17:30
Pair 2D. Nurse17:25M. Kesselring15:20
OTT
Line 2C. Giroux14:31T. Stützle14:46F. Zetterlund13:14
Line 3D. Batherson12:58D. Cozens12:16W. Foegele11:45
Line 4N. Cousins9:01H. Hodgson3:03S. Halliday11:01
Pair 2J. Sanderson19:39A. Zub16:19
Pair 3N. Matinpalo15:17C. Yakemchuk15:00
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Prop Results
11 of 22 overs hit (50%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SOG | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.5 | +115 | -125 | 2 | Under |
| OTT D. Batherson | 2.5 | +142 | -160 | 3 | Over |
| OTT D. Cozens | 2.5 | +100 | -125 | 3 | Over |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 2.5 | +146 | -180 | 2 | Under |
| OTT T. Stützle | 2.5 | +140 | -160 | 5 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.5 | +126 | -150 | 3 | Over |
| OTT C. Giroux | 1.5 | -130 | +115 | 2 | Over |
| OTT C. Yakemchuk | 1.5 | +130 | -160 | 2 | Over |
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.5 | -125 | +110 | 0 | Under |
| OTT F. Zetterlund | 1.5 | -125 | +104 | 9 | Over |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 1.5 | +110 | -130 | 1 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.5 | -115 | -110 | 1 | Under |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 1.5 | -115 | -110 | 3 | Over |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 1.5 | +120 | -150 | 1 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 1.5 | -115 | -105 | 1 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 1.5 | +155 | – | 1 | Under |
| OTT R. Greig | 1.5 | -105 | -120 | 2 | Over |
| OTT S. Halliday | 1.5 | +105 | -125 | 1 | Under |
| OTT S. Pinto | 1.5 | -150 | +128 | 4 | Over |
| OTT T. Kleven | 1.5 | +130 | -165 | 2 | Over |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 1.5 | -128 | +100 | 1 | Under |
| OTT W. Foegele | 1.5 | +100 | -115 | 1 | Under |
7 of 35 overs hit (20%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | G | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT A. Zub | 0.5 | +1200 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +1400 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| OTT C. Giroux | 0.5 | +370 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +525 | -750 | 1 | Over |
| OTT C. Yakemchuk | 0.5 | +700 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| OTT D. Batherson | 0.5 | +200 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| OTT D. Cozens | 0.5 | +245 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +1000 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +800 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| OTT F. Zetterlund | 0.5 | +380 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| OTT H. Hodgson | 0.5 | +1100 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +360 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 0.5 | +490 | -700 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Spence | 0.5 | +850 | -2000 | 1 | Over |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +1200 | -3500 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +420 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| OTT M. Amadio | 0.5 | +480 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | +150 | -190 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +1500 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +280 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +400 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS N. Allan | 0.5 | +2200 | -4000 | 1 | Over |
| OTT N. Cousins | 0.5 | +800 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| OTT N. Matinpalo | 0.5 | +1700 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| OTT R. Greig | 0.5 | +500 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +2200 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| OTT S. Halliday | 0.5 | +450 | -700 | 0 | Under |
| OTT S. Pinto | 0.5 | +275 | -390 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.5 | +950 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| OTT T. Kleven | 0.5 | +1600 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| OTT T. Stützle | 0.5 | +200 | -220 | 1 | Over |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +380 | -500 | 1 | Over |
| OTT W. Foegele | 0.5 | +450 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +230 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +1000 | -2500 | 1 | Over |
13 of 35 overs hit (37%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT A. Zub | 0.5 | +330 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +1100 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT C. Giroux | 0.5 | +190 | -210 | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +360 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT C. Yakemchuk | 0.5 | +225 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| OTT D. Batherson | 0.5 | +168 | -200 | 1 | Over |
| OTT D. Cozens | 0.5 | +180 | -195 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +340 | -500 | 1 | Over |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +200 | -200 | 1 | Over |
| OTT F. Zetterlund | 0.5 | +280 | -380 | 1 | Over |
| OTT H. Hodgson | 0.5 | +700 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +245 | -295 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 0.5 | +112 | -125 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Spence | 0.5 | +320 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +200 | -265 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +240 | -330 | 2 | Over |
| OTT M. Amadio | 0.5 | +310 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | -155 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +500 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +230 | -235 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +285 | -340 | 1 | Over |
| SJS N. Allan | 0.5 | +600 | – | 0 | Under |
| OTT N. Cousins | 0.5 | +475 | – | 0 | Under |
| OTT N. Matinpalo | 0.5 | +475 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT R. Greig | 0.5 | +300 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +550 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT S. Halliday | 0.5 | +240 | -290 | 0 | Under |
| OTT S. Pinto | 0.5 | +215 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.5 | +500 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT T. Kleven | 0.5 | +550 | – | 0 | Under |
| OTT T. Stützle | 0.5 | -120 | +115 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +270 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| OTT W. Foegele | 0.5 | +320 | -475 | 1 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +155 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +1000 | – | 0 | Under |
17 of 35 overs hit (49%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | P | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 1.5 | +160 | -170 | 0 | Under |
| OTT T. Stützle | 1.5 | +200 | -220 | 1 | Under |
| OTT A. Zub | 0.5 | +255 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +650 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT C. Giroux | 0.5 | +110 | -135 | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +205 | – | 2 | Over |
| OTT C. Yakemchuk | 0.5 | +170 | -220 | 0 | Under |
| OTT D. Batherson | 0.5 | -140 | +115 | 1 | Over |
| OTT D. Cozens | 0.5 | -125 | +110 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +235 | -330 | 1 | Over |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +142 | -155 | 1 | Over |
| OTT F. Zetterlund | 0.5 | +150 | -175 | 1 | Over |
| OTT H. Hodgson | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +120 | -150 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 0.5 | -130 | +115 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Spence | 0.5 | +220 | -310 | 1 | Over |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +165 | -220 | 2 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +140 | -160 | 2 | Over |
| OTT M. Amadio | 0.5 | +175 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +370 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +105 | -120 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +150 | -175 | 1 | Over |
| SJS N. Allan | 0.5 | +475 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT N. Cousins | 0.5 | +295 | – | 0 | Under |
| OTT N. Matinpalo | 0.5 | +380 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT R. Greig | 0.5 | +170 | -190 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +450 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT S. Halliday | 0.5 | +135 | -170 | 0 | Under |
| OTT S. Pinto | 0.5 | +100 | -115 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.5 | +340 | – | 1 | Over |
| OTT T. Kleven | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +140 | -150 | 1 | Over |
| OTT W. Foegele | 0.5 | +175 | -230 | 1 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | -135 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +550 | – | 1 | Over |
3 of 19 overs hit (16%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | PPP | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT C. Giroux | 0.5 | +300 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| OTT C. Yakemchuk | 0.5 | +360 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| OTT D. Batherson | 0.5 | +190 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| OTT D. Cozens | 0.5 | +230 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +375 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| OTT F. Zetterlund | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 0.5 | +240 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +390 | -1000 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +400 | -1100 | 1 | Over |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | +140 | -190 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +280 | -450 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| OTT R. Greig | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| OTT S. Halliday | 0.5 | +250 | -425 | 0 | Under |
| OTT S. Pinto | 0.5 | +390 | -625 | 0 | Under |
| OTT T. Stützle | 0.5 | +170 | -235 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +360 | -650 | 1 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +250 | -325 | 0 | Under |
1 of 2 overs hit (50%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS Y. Askarov | 24.5 | +100 | -125 | 41 | Over |
| OTT S. Ersson | 22.5 | -114 | -118 | 22 | Under |
1 of 4 overs hit (25%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | BLK | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT A. Zub | 1.5 | -130 | -105 | 1 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.5 | -180 | +130 | 0 | Under |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 1.5 | -130 | -110 | 1 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.5 | -155 | +110 | 2 | Over |
Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SJS 3.1, OTT 3.3 | SJS 6, OTT 2 |
| Total goals | 6.4 | 8 |
| Shots on goal | SJS 24.4, OTT 28.2 | SJS 28, OTT 43 |
| Win chance | OTT 53% | SJS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.4 | 2 | 1.36 | 0 | 40% | 0 |
| OTT D. Cozens | 2.6 | 3 | 0.73 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| OTT T. Stützle | 2.4 | 5 | 1.18 | 1 | 35% | 1 |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.3 | 3 | 0.94 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| OTT D. Batherson | 2.1 | 3 | 0.88 | 1 | 31% | 0 |
| OTT F. Zetterlund | 2.0 | 9 | 0.47 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| OTT S. Pinto | 2.0 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| OTT W. Foegele | 1.9 | 1 | 0.43 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| OTT J. Sanderson | 1.9 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| OTT C. Giroux | 1.9 | 2 | 0.72 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.8 | 0 | 0.32 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 1.8 | 1 | 0.54 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 1.7 | 3 | 0.46 | 2 | 21% | 0 |
| OTT R. Greig | 1.7 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| SJS M. Marchment | 1.6 | 1 | 0.63 | 0 | 25% | 0 |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.6 | 1 | 0.34 | 2 | 8% | 1 |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 1.5 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| OTT S. Halliday | 1.5 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| OTT J. Spence | 1.4 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 1.4 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| OTT T. Kleven | 1.4 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS I. Stenberg | 1.4 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| OTT C. Yakemchuk | 1.3 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.3 | 3 | 0.45 | 2 | 19% | 1 |
| SJS M. Misa | 1.2 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| OTT M. Amadio | 1.1 | 1 | 0.44 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| OTT A. Zub | 1.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.0 | 1 | 0.38 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.9 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 0.9 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| OTT N. Cousins | 0.9 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.8 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| OTT N. Matinpalo | 0.7 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.7 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| OTT H. Hodgson | 0.6 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS N. Allan | 0.5 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.5 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.