Game Recap: STL 5, CHI 3, April 11, 2026

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Game Recap

STL5

FinalSat, Apr 11, 2026Every game that night

CHI3

STL beat CHI 5-3, with the chances close: 3.28 expected goals to 3.14. I. Mikheyev led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Frondell had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. J. Hofer stopped 31 of 34.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
STL	1	3	1	5
CHI	1	1	1	3

1st 9:26STLJ. Snuggerud0.11 xG
1st 15:07CHIR. Greene0.09 xG
2nd 3:04CHII. Mikheyev0.04 xG
2nd 4:10STLA. Toropchenko0.15 xG
2nd 12:06STLJ. KyrouPP0.10 xG
2nd 17:20STLC. Fowler0.16 xG
3rd 7:04STLD. Dvorsky0.14 xG
3rd 13:35CHII. Mikheyev0.23 xG

Team Stats

STLCHI

28Shots on goal34

3.28Expected goals3.14

49Shot attempts61

265v5 shots on goal25

1/1Power play0/2

14Hits9

9Blocked shots12

4Penalty minutes2

23Giveaways15

4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

STL 3.28 xGCHI 3.14 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

STL28 on goal, 5 scored

CHI34 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

STL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Berggren	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	+1	0	13:26	0:17
J. Snuggerud	RW	1	0	1	4	0	2	-1	0	17:35	1:06
D. Holloway	LW	0	1	1	4	1	0	-1	0	17:25	1:05
P. Buchnevich	LW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	15:29	0:31
P. Suter	C	0	1	1	0	1	1	+1	0	14:49	0:00
A. Toropchenko	RW	1	0	1	2	4	0	+1	0	14:20	0:00
J. Neighbours	LW	0	1	1	1	2	0	+1	0	13:47	1:05
D. Dvorsky	RW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	12:52	0:31
J. Kyrou	RW	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	12:41	0:30
O. Sundqvist	C	0	1	1	0	3	0	+1	2	12:27	0:00
R. Thomas	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	2	18:29	1:18
O. Stenberg	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:00	0:00
T. Tucker	D	0	2	2	4	1	0	+1	0	18:45	0:00
L. Mailloux	D	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	20:26	0:18
C. Fowler	D	1	0	1	1	0	0	+2	0	18:20	0:00
C. Parayko	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	22:08	0:00
P. Broberg	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	20:52	1:19
T. Lindstein	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	18:09	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Hofer	34	31	3	.912	60:00	Win
J. Binnington	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
I. Mikheyev	RW	2	0	2	3	0	0	+1	0	18:00	0:02
C. Bedard	C	0	1	1	6	0	0	-1	0	23:01	3:03
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	21:30	2:58
A. Frondell	C	0	1	1	6	0	2	+1	0	19:11	2:38
R. Greene	C	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	15:20	0:42
S. Boisvert	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	11:52	0:00
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	17:14	2:11
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	16:53	1:48
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	15:28	0:55
N. Lardis	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	13:27	1:21
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:27	0:00
S. Lafferty	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	9:33	0:00
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	7:24	2:56
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	1	0	4	+2	0	23:18	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	20:43	0:55
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	19:43	0:22
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	-1	0	18:32	0:09
K. Korchinski	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	17:20	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	28	23	5	.821	57:28	Loss
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

STL

Line 1R. Thomas15:32D. Holloway15:13J. Snuggerud15:13

Line 2O. Stenberg12:30P. Buchnevich12:53J. Kyrou12:11

Line 3J. Berggren12:20J. Neighbours11:48D. Dvorsky11:38

Line 4A. Toropchenko12:20P. Suter12:10O. Sundqvist11:32

Pair 1C. Parayko19:28T. Lindstein17:21

Pair 2P. Broberg16:19L. Mailloux16:49

Pair 3C. Fowler15:55T. Tucker18:08

CHI

Line 1T. Bertuzzi16:12I. Mikheyev17:26A. Frondell14:58

Line 2A. Burakovsky13:50R. Donato12:45C. Bedard18:09

Line 3T. Teravainen11:25A. Mangiapane11:46S. Boisvert11:40

Line 4N. Lardis11:21R. Greene12:02

Pair 1A. Vlasic18:14L. Crevier17:18

Pair 2S. Rinzel19:48W. Kaiser21:58

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	STL 3.2, CHI 2.7	STL 5, CHI 3
Total goals	6.0	8
Shots on goal	STL 27.3, CHI 25.3	STL 28, CHI 34
Win chance	STL 58%	STL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
STL D. Holloway	2.9	4	0.92	1	30%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.8	6	0.92	1	29%	0
STL J. Snuggerud	2.7	4	0.78	1	24%	1
CHI A. Frondell	2.4	6	0.76	1	23%	0
STL J. Kyrou	2.4	1	0.68	1	28%	1
CHI F. Nazar	2.1	0	0.66	0	23%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.0	1	0.71	1	30%	0
STL R. Thomas	1.8	2	1.08	0	27%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.7	2	0.31	0	5%	0
STL P. Buchnevich	1.7	2	0.66	1	23%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.6	3	0.46	2	22%	2
CHI N. Lardis	1.5	0	0.38	0	19%	0
STL C. Parayko	1.5	2	0.35	0	11%	0
STL L. Mailloux	1.5	1	0.29	1	9%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.5	1	0.29	0	6%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.5	3	0.46	0	21%	0
STL P. Suter	1.4	0	0.42	1	18%	0
STL J. Neighbours	1.4	1	0.56	1	23%	0
STL J. Berggren	1.3	1	0.46	2	19%	0
STL D. Dvorsky	1.3	2	0.31	1	15%	1
STL P. Broberg	1.3	0	0.50	0	12%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.3	1	0.58	0	21%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.2	4	0.33	1	13%	1
STL T. Lindstein	1.1	1	0.23	0	6%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	1	0.24	0	6%	0
STL O. Stenberg	1.1	0	0.32	0	12%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.1	3	0.26	0	3%	0
STL A. Toropchenko	1.0	2	0.20	1	9%	1
STL C. Fowler	1.0	1	0.41	1	8%	1
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.0	0	0.36	0	14%	0
CHI A. Mangiapane	0.9	0	0.27	0	14%	0
STL T. Tucker	0.9	4	0.20	2	6%	0
CHI K. Korchinski	0.8	0	0.13	0	4%	0
STL O. Sundqvist	0.7	0	0.27	1	9%	0
CHI S. Boisvert	0.7	2	0.19	1	10%	0
CHI S. Lafferty	0.6	1	0.14	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.