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Game Recap
TBL4
FinalFri, Feb 11, 2022Every game that night
ARI3

TBL beat ARI 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.36 expected goals to 1.52. TBL outshot ARI 32 to 19. S. Stamkos led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). B. Elliott stopped 16 of 19.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2024
ARI1023
  1. 1st 3:30TBLB. Point0.09 xG
  2. 1st 17:11TBLC. Perry0.08 xG
  3. 1st 19:08ARIA. Galchenyuk0.05 xG
  4. 3rd 4:03TBLS. Stamkos0.03 xG
  5. 3rd 9:54ARIC. Keller0.12 xG
  6. 3rd 12:18TBLS. Stamkos0.15 xG
  7. 3rd 18:22ARIN. Schmaltz0.20 xG

Team Stats

TBLARI
32Shots on goal19
3.36Expected goals1.52
54Shot attempts43
295v5 shots on goal16
0/3Power play0/1
16Hits23
15Blocked shots13
2Penalty minutes6
4Giveaways11
4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.36 xGARI 1.52 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdTBL goal, 3:30TBL goal, 17:11ARI goal, 19:08TBL goal, 4:03ARI goal, 9:54TBL goal, 12:18ARI goal, 18:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL32 on goal, 4 scored
ARI18 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC202400+1018:154:10
B. PointC101221-1020:213:59
A. KillornLW011000+2217:243:30
C. PerryRW101221+1013:042:11
P. MaroonLW011020+1012:232:01
M. JosephRW011310+1010:450:00
N. KucherovRW000000-1022:004:15
O. PalatLW000510-1018:011:49
A. CirelliC000411-1016:290:20
R. ColtonC0000000013:421:45
P. BellemareLW000100+1011:070:00
T. RaddyshRW0001300011:040:00
V. HedmanD011202+1027:533:50
R. McDonaghD0112020023:060:00
J. RuttaD0111140019:240:00
M. SergachevD000511-1024:462:10
C. FooteD000012+109:300:00
D. RaddyshD000011+109:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott19163.84259:40Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW1122100020:251:07
T. BoydC011220-2017:450:53
N. SchmaltzC101100-1016:091:07
P. KesselRW011000+1015:520:54
A. GalchenyukC101220+2015:050:53
C. FischerRW0111220012:491:07
L. CrouseLW0000500016:101:06
A. LaddLW0002010213:190:53
A. RousselLW000061-1013:170:00
R. NashC000100-1213:070:00
L. ErikssonLW0001000011:410:00
R. DzingelC0000000011:140:00
J. ChychrunD0113000023:200:56
J. MoserD0111100216:010:00
S. GostisbehereD0001130020:311:04
I. LyubushkinD000000-1020:200:00
D. MayoD000111-1019:280:00
A. StralmanD0001250018:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka32284.87558:53Loss
I. Prosvetov000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJ.J. Moser TBL First game back in ARI, his team until Apr 20241 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.