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Game Recap
TBL6
Final/OTMon, Nov 28, 2022Every game that night
BUF5

TBL beat BUF 6-5 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.97 expected goals to 4.05. BUF outshot TBL 37 to 25. S. Stamkos led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). B. Elliott stopped 32 of 37.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TBL21216
BUF21205
  1. 1st 7:54TBLB. PointPP0.19 xG
  2. 1st 16:48TBLC. Perry0.17 xG
  3. 1st 17:54BUFT. Thompson0.25 xG
  4. 1st 18:53BUFJ. Quinn0.11 xG
  5. 2nd 9:07BUFT. Jost0.23 xG
  6. 2nd 16:26TBLB. PointPP0.19 xG
  7. 3rd 9:37BUFD. Cozens0.03 xG
  8. 3rd 14:19BUFJ. Skinner0.03 xG
  9. 3rd 14:35TBLS. Stamkos0.28 xG
  10. 3rd 17:58TBLB. HagelPP0.36 xG
  11. OT 2:44TBLS. Stamkos0.03 xG

Team Stats

TBLBUF
25Shots on goal37
3.97Expected goals4.05
55Shot attempts58
195v5 shots on goal27
3/4Power play0/1
25Hits8
10Blocked shots9
4Penalty minutes8
8Giveaways3
9Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.97 xGBUF 4.05 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 7:54TBL goal, 16:48BUF goal, 17:54BUF goal, 18:53BUF goal, 9:07TBL goal, 16:26BUF goal, 9:37BUF goal, 14:19TBL goal, 14:35TBL goal, 17:58TBL goal, 2:44

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL24 on goal, 6 scored
BUF36 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW033301-1226:004:56
S. StamkosC213211+1022:375:41
B. PointC2022010025:135:43
B. HagelLW1124400023:464:49
N. PaulLW011040+1019:580:30
A. KillornLW011210-1017:490:00
C. PerryRW101200-1010:491:34
R. ColtonC000230-3013:000:00
P. MaroonLW000000-1010:290:00
V. NamestnikovC000210-1010:170:00
C. KoepkeLW000010-128:520:02
M. SergachevD0331110024:554:06
V. HedmanD000201-1023:390:26
E. CernakD000122-1018:390:00
I. ColeD000022-1016:270:00
N. PerbixD0001100014:160:06
Z. BogosianD0001210012:090:00
C. FooteD000020-207:350:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott37325.86562:23Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC112400+1020:060:57
A. TuchRW0113000019:021:17
T. JostC101200+1218:090:00
J. SkinnerLW101301+1017:450:58
Z. GirgensonsC011111+2017:380:00
K. OkposoRW011400+2016:180:00
D. CozensC101501+2014:461:10
J. QuinnRW101300+2014:210:38
J. PeterkaRW011100+2013:500:39
C. MittelstadtC000000-209:190:00
R. AsplundC000100-208:380:00
V. OlofssonLW000000-208:180:24
M. SamuelssonD011201+2227:010:00
R. DahlinD011212+1225:031:12
O. PowerD0114010222:500:26
H. JokiharjuD0002210023:310:19
I. LyubushkinD000031+1014:000:00
C. FitzgeraldD000010+1011:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen25196.76062:44OT loss
C. Anderson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.