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Game Recap
TBL7
FinalThu, Dec 14, 2023Every game that night
EDM4

TBL beat EDM 7-4 despite fewer good chances: 3.45 expected goals to 6.47. EDM outshot TBL 57 to 24. S. Stamkos scored 4 for TBL. A. Vasilevskiy stopped 53 of 57.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2057
EDM0314
  1. 1st 1:07TBLS. StamkosPP0.17 xG
  2. 1st 7:17TBLT. Motte0.21 xG
  3. 2nd 1:23EDMD. NurseSH0.15 xG
  4. 2nd 7:20EDMC. McDavidPP0.13 xG
  5. 2nd 10:02EDMZ. HymanPP0.28 xG
  6. 3rd 6:48TBLS. Stamkos0.14 xG
  7. 3rd 12:47TBLN. Kucherov0.20 xG
  8. 3rd 14:02TBLS. Stamkos0.03 xG
  9. 3rd 17:38EDMR. Nugent-Hopkins0.11 xG
  10. 3rd 18:27TBLA. CirelliEN0.59 xG
  11. 3rd 19:53TBLS. StamkosEN0.73 xG

Team Stats

TBLEDM
24Shots on goal57
3.45Expected goals6.47
48Shot attempts89
175v5 shots on goal35
1/2Power play2/4
24Hits26
19Blocked shots16
8Penalty minutes4
19Giveaways15
12Takeaways17

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.45 xGEDM 6.47 xGGoal

01234561st2nd3rdTBL goal, 1:07TBL goal, 7:17EDM goal, 1:23EDM goal, 7:20EDM goal, 10:02TBL goal, 6:48TBL goal, 12:47TBL goal, 14:02EDM goal, 17:38TBL goal, 18:27TBL goal, 19:53

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL23 on goal, 7 scored
EDM56 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC404700+3014:591:37
N. KucherovRW123301+1021:511:37
C. ShearyLW022001+2012:170:00
B. PointC0110020021:501:11
N. PaulLW011020+2020:571:37
A. CirelliC101211+1012:181:04
M. EyssimontC011310+109:580:00
T. MotteC101111+108:540:00
B. HagelLW0002020219:190:38
T. JeannotLW0000610012:100:38
L. GlendeningC0000110211:100:00
A. Barré-BouletC0000210010:390:38
M. SergachevD011233+1024:511:37
C. de HaanD011041+2220:030:00
D. RaddyshD011100+1216:540:38
H. FleuryD011200+2015:440:00
E. CernakD000023+2023:590:00
N. PerbixD000111+1016:190:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy57534.93060:00Win
J. Johansson000–0:00

EDM Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. Nugent-HopkinsC1236000022:425:48
C. McDavidC112710-1022:555:48
Z. HymanLW101610-1022:495:48
D. RyanC011110008:040:00
L. DraisaitlC000701-2221:585:33
E. KaneLW000351-2017:371:56
M. JanmarkC000310-2015:180:00
C. BrownRW000301-2014:050:00
W. FoegeleLW000600-1213:030:00
R. McLeodC000020-1012:360:00
S. GagnerC000131-109:090:00
J. HamblinLW000311-107:430:00
E. BouchardD022522-1025:485:48
D. NurseD101426-2022:180:00
M. EkholmD000140-1021:020:15
C. CeciD000110-1019:590:00
V. DesharnaisD000002-1012:340:00
B. KulakD000021-2012:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Skinner22175.77355:51Loss
C. Pickard000–0:00