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Game Recap
TBL3
Final/OTFri, Oct 21, 2022Every game that night
FLA2

TBL beat FLA 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.02 expected goals to 3.01. B. Point led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 38.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TBL10113
FLA11002
  1. 1st 13:04TBLS. StamkosPP0.12 xG
  2. 1st 15:48FLAM. Tkachuk0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 15:37FLAR. Balcers0.13 xG
  4. 3rd 9:29TBLB. Point0.09 xG
  5. OT 2:08TBLB. PointPP0.18 xG

Team Stats

TBLFLA
32Shots on goal38
4.02Expected goals3.01
56Shot attempts58
205v5 shots on goal27
2/7Power play0/5
29Hits17
15Blocked shots13
14Penalty minutes18
5Giveaways8
7Takeaways14

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 4.02 xGFLA 3.01 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTTBL goal, 13:04FLA goal, 15:48FLA goal, 15:37TBL goal, 9:29TBL goal, 2:08

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL31 on goal, 3 scored
FLA38 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW022511+1223:098:09
B. PointC202500+1022:447:31
S. StamkosC1124110021:027:48
C. PerryRW0110000015:193:57
N. PaulLW000201-1017:190:28
B. HagelLW0000110416:432:23
A. KillornLW000320-1016:332:24
V. NamestnikovC000001-1015:215:42
R. ColtonC000142-1211:501:52
P. BellemareLW000120-109:480:00
P. MaroonLW000040007:510:00
C. KoepkeLW000110005:270:00
V. HedmanD0114120226:346:03
M. SergachevD011202-1222:502:31
E. CernakD000071-1221:490:33
I. ColeD0004010018:570:15
N. PerbixD0000210011:390:00
P. MyersD0000310010:580:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy38362.94762:08Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW112601+1621:046:47
R. BalcersLW101400+1011:330:00
A. BarkovC0001010025:386:37
S. ReinhartC0004010022:576:43
S. BennettC000561+1420:196:09
C. VerhaegheC0001010218:221:40
A. LundellC0002000017:281:40
E. LuostarinenC0001010013:592:09
P. HornqvistRW0002000211:206:09
C. WhiteC0001000010:582:13
N. CousinsC000100006:190:00
R. LombergLW000100005:250:00
B. MontourD022131+1223:181:56
G. ForslingD011321+1022:450:07
R. GudasD0003240222:230:00
M. StaalD0002310020:570:00
J. MahuraD0000000011:130:00
M. KierstedD000010008:340:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky32293.90661:42OT loss
S. Knight000–0:00