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Game Recap
TBL5
FinalSat, Mar 16, 2024Every game that night
FLA3

TBL beat FLA 5-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.77 expected goals to 4.50. FLA outshot TBL 50 to 16. S. Stamkos led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 47 of 50.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2215
FLA0213
  1. 1st 0:20TBLS. Stamkos0.12 xG
  2. 1st 13:21TBLM. Eyssimont0.40 xG
  3. 2nd 3:02TBLD. Raddysh0.05 xG
  4. 2nd 6:59TBLS. StamkosPP0.23 xG
  5. 2nd 8:23FLAM. TkachukSH0.12 xG
  6. 2nd 11:55FLAS. ReinhartPP0.45 xG
  7. 3rd 16:08FLAS. Reinhart0.05 xG
  8. 3rd 18:28TBLN. KucherovEN0.86 xG

Team Stats

TBLFLA
16Shots on goal50
2.77Expected goals4.50
35Shot attempts77
125v5 shots on goal23
1/7Power play1/7
15Hits25
16Blocked shots10
28Penalty minutes39
14Giveaways12
2Takeaways13

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 2.77 xGFLA 4.50 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdTBL goal, 0:20TBL goal, 13:21TBL goal, 3:02TBL goal, 6:59FLA goal, 8:23FLA goal, 11:55FLA goal, 16:08TBL goal, 18:28

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL14 on goal, 5 scored
FLA47 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC224200+2014:024:53
N. KucherovRW1121000419:406:25
B. HagelLW011001+1021:072:13
A. DuclairLW011000+1215:534:05
N. PaulLW0111110014:053:10
M. EyssimontC1012100211:302:00
B. PointC000011+1018:544:29
A. CirelliC000010+3018:002:48
L. GlendeningC000020-1211:120:07
T. MotteC000200-1010:560:07
C. ShearyLW000100-109:290:27
M. ChaffeeRW000003005:500:07
V. HedmanD011211+1027:454:39
E. CernakD011002+2222:090:06
D. RaddyshD101102+1016:313:18
N. PerbixD011131+2212:570:15
M. DumbaD00003301418:330:42
C. de HaanD000321-1016:030:14
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy50473.94060:00Win
J. Johansson000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. ReinhartC202610-1224:017:34
M. TkachukLW112711-1023:429:47
S. BennettC0114300415:304:08
A. BarkovC000610-1024:267:20
C. VerhaegheC000300-1221:138:04
A. LundellC000101-1016:001:19
E. LuostarinenC000430-1014:560:00
V. TarasenkoRW000200-3014:253:00
E. RodriguesC0003000013:133:14
K. StenlundC000001007:140:00
N. CousinsC000010005:170:00
R. LombergLW000110024:460:00
J. MahuraD0113300012:060:00
B. MontourD000451-2027:398:23
G. ForslingD000211+1221:130:04
O. Ekman-LarssonD000211+1220:552:47
N. MikkolaD000224-31019:500:00
D. KulikovD0000200154:460:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky15114.73357:09Loss
E. Cormier000–0:00