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Game Recap
TBL7
FinalThu, Apr 4, 2024Every game that night
MTL4

TBL beat MTL 7-4, and the chances backed it up: 3.49 expected goals to 2.50. S. Stamkos led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). M. Tomkins stopped 26 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2417
MTL1124
  1. 1st 2:37MTLJ. Armia0.22 xG
  2. 1st 9:45TBLN. PaulPP0.31 xG
  3. 1st 16:26TBLM. Eyssimont0.20 xG
  4. 2nd 4:42MTLJ. Armia0.14 xG
  5. 2nd 7:58TBLS. Stamkos0.15 xG
  6. 2nd 9:12TBLN. Paul0.12 xG
  7. 2nd 13:18TBLB. Hagel0.04 xG
  8. 2nd 17:45TBLN. KucherovPP0.18 xG
  9. 3rd 8:40MTLJ. Slafkovský0.05 xG
  10. 3rd 11:51MTLC. Caufield0.12 xG
  11. 3rd 19:06TBLS. StamkosEN0.36 xG

Team Stats

TBLMTL
35Shots on goal30
3.49Expected goals2.50
58Shot attempts63
245v5 shots on goal22
2/5Power play0/4
21Hits23
21Blocked shots15
14Penalty minutes16
9Giveaways12
4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.49 xGMTL 2.50 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdMTL goal, 2:37TBL goal, 9:45TBL goal, 16:26MTL goal, 4:42TBL goal, 7:58TBL goal, 9:12TBL goal, 13:18TBL goal, 17:45MTL goal, 8:40MTL goal, 11:51TBL goal, 19:06

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL34 on goal, 7 scored
MTL30 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW123211+1020:386:28
S. StamkosC213311+2217:085:18
N. PaulLW202311+1021:206:28
B. PointC0223000019:406:29
M. EyssimontC112310+2412:291:30
A. CirelliC022100+128:510:30
B. HagelLW101511+1015:472:42
T. MotteC011312-1014:310:00
L. GlendeningC000201-2014:170:00
A. DuclairLW000011+1013:131:31
M. ChaffeeRW0001110012:410:59
A. WatsonLW000020-228:510:00
M. DumbaD0112320020:290:00
C. de HaanD0110340216:280:00
D. RaddyshD011211+1015:241:31
V. HedmanD000301+1027:126:29
E. CernakD0002220218:540:00
E. LillebergD000022-1014:070:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Tomkins30264.86760:00Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SlafkovskýLW112610+1022:445:30
J. ArmiaRW202310-1018:572:28
A. NewhookC0221000217:115:14
B. GallagherRW022400-1013:212:31
N. SuzukiC0110020025:005:54
C. CaufieldRW101712+2020:405:25
J. EvansC000020-2014:350:06
R. Harvey-PinardLW000020-2012:460:00
J. AndersonRW0001100011:552:27
C. WhiteC000101009:230:00
M. PezzettaLW000051-109:160:00
J. YlonenRW000110009:121:56
M. MathesonD011404-1428:135:27
A. XhekajD0111710218:422:13
J. HarrisD000113-2024:140:15
D. SavardD0000110019:470:06
J. StrubleD000000+1817:330:28
K. GuhleD000000001:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Primeau34286.82457:18Loss
S. Montembeault000–0:00