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Game Recap
TBL3
Final/OTSat, Nov 19, 2022Every game that night
NSH2

TBL beat NSH 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.39 expected goals to 2.26. N. Kucherov led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TBL01113
NSH10102
  1. 1st 1:50NSHF. ForsbergPP0.02 xG
  2. 2nd 4:25TBLN. KucherovPP0.13 xG
  3. 3rd 5:04NSHN. Niederreiter0.14 xG
  4. 3rd 16:39TBLA. Killorn0.10 xG
  5. OT 2:36TBLS. StamkosPP0.17 xG

Team Stats

TBLNSH
39Shots on goal32
4.39Expected goals2.26
69Shot attempts47
295v5 shots on goal21
2/5Power play1/5
20Hits35
10Blocked shots22
12Penalty minutes12
12Giveaways13
3Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 4.39 xGNSH 2.26 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTNSH goal, 1:50TBL goal, 4:25NSH goal, 5:04TBL goal, 16:39TBL goal, 2:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL36 on goal, 3 scored
NSH31 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW123610+1023:365:27
B. PointC0224000021:525:23
S. StamkosC101520-1218:245:28
A. KillornLW1013000017:291:29
B. HagelLW0001000022:315:12
N. PaulLW0001300216:591:30
P. BellemareLW0000000012:150:00
V. NamestnikovC0000020010:500:00
R. ColtonC0002100010:221:27
C. PerryRW0003000010:151:38
R. BalcersLW000000008:240:00
P. MaroonLW000110028:030:00
M. SergachevD0111030025:515:13
I. ColeD0113100219:200:00
V. HedmanD000312+1226:151:31
E. CernakD000131-1021:580:03
Z. BogosianD0003700215:580:00
H. FleuryD000202006:290:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy32302.93862:36Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. ForsbergLW1012100018:515:51
J. ParssinenC0110600017:225:29
M. DucheneC0114010016:193:12
N. NiederreiterRW1012510014:463:10
M. GranlundC0001100021:025:47
C. SissonsC0001210019:094:39
R. JohansenC000102-1416:374:01
T. JeannotLW0002550015:450:08
C. SmithRW0002500012:420:20
M. McCarronC0001230212:020:00
C. GlassC000420+109:330:32
E. TolvanenRW000210009:232:19
M. EkholmD011101-1220:023:28
R. JosiD000503+1027:375:26
R. McDonaghD0001120221:200:00
A. CarrierD000201-1019:391:07
J. LauzonD0000310016:220:17
D. FabbroD000111+1210:360:09
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros39363.92362:36OT loss
K. Lankinen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamRoss Colton NSH Faces TBL, his team until Apr 20232 SOG
  • Old teamSteven Stamkos NSH Faces TBL, his team until Apr 20241 G, 5 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.