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Game Recap
TBL5
FinalSat, Nov 6, 2021Every game that night
OTT3

TBL beat OTT 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.36 expected goals to 2.95. O. Palat led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). B. Elliott stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL1135
OTT0213
  1. 1st 4:27TBLV. HedmanPP0.08 xG
  2. 2nd 1:39OTTC. Brown0.27 xG
  3. 2nd 10:06TBLJ. Rutta0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 19:17OTTB. Tkachuk0.12 xG
  5. 3rd 7:32TBLS. Stamkos0.02 xG
  6. 3rd 18:19TBLO. Palat0.22 xG
  7. 3rd 19:26TBLA. CirelliEN0.94 xG
  8. 3rd 19:44OTTL. Shaw0.05 xG

Team Stats

TBLOTT
33Shots on goal27
4.36Expected goals2.95
57Shot attempts45
285v5 shots on goal24
1/2Power play0/4
20Hits29
12Blocked shots10
6Penalty minutes4
7Giveaways10
6Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 4.36 xGOTT 2.95 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdTBL goal, 4:27OTT goal, 1:39TBL goal, 10:06OTT goal, 19:17TBL goal, 7:32TBL goal, 18:19TBL goal, 19:26OTT goal, 19:44

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL32 on goal, 5 scored
OTT27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. PointC033110+3018:131:10
O. PalatLW123611+3017:491:06
A. CirelliC112201+3021:311:06
S. StamkosC112210-1016:191:10
M. JosephRW0112600018:070:00
A. KillornLW011200-1216:241:10
P. BellemareLW0000110015:210:00
T. RaddyshRW000211-1011:190:00
A. Barré-BouletC000000-109:521:18
P. MaroonLW000300-109:490:00
C. PerryRW000110009:410:58
R. ColtonC000110-109:391:06
V. HedmanD101730+4028:531:26
R. McDonaghD0110120025:170:50
J. RuttaD1011220417:310:00
E. CernakD000102+1025:190:00
C. FooteD000001-2012:260:00
F. ClaessonD000211-108:300:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
B. Elliott27243.88960:00Win
A. Vasilevskiy000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. BathersonRW011320-1021:545:00
J. NorrisC011111-1221:024:08
B. TkachukLW1011900019:463:59
C. BrownRW101510-2019:123:52
L. ShawRW101210+108:460:00
P. KellyC011200+107:390:00
N. PaulLW000200-1018:222:41
T. StützleC000330-2017:394:23
C. TierneyC0001000016:063:52
A. FormentonLW000310-1015:230:00
Z. SanfordLW000131-1014:123:52
D. GambrellC000030+127:260:00
V. MeteD0110000015:391:56
T. ChabotD000103-1028:515:01
N. ZaitsevD000022+1020:450:09
A. ZubD0000000016:161:03
J. BrownD0001320014:460:04
N. HoldenD0001010014:280:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Murray32284.87559:32Loss
A. Forsberg000–0:00