Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TBL5
FinalThu, Dec 9, 2021Every game that night
TOR3

TBL beat TOR 5-3 despite fewer good chances: 3.07 expected goals to 3.97. TOR outshot TBL 38 to 27. S. Stamkos led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). A. Vasilevskiy stopped 35 of 38.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2215
TOR2013
  1. 1st 1:44TORO. KasePP0.11 xG
  2. 1st 9:57TBLP. Bellemare0.12 xG
  3. 1st 12:16TBLS. StamkosPP0.02 xG
  4. 1st 19:53TORW. NylanderPP0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 4:02TBLO. Palat0.07 xG
  6. 2nd 9:11TBLT. Raddysh0.25 xG
  7. 3rd 9:36TORO. Kase0.01 xG
  8. 3rd 19:31TBLO. PalatEN0.85 xG

Team Stats

TBLTOR
27Shots on goal38
3.07Expected goals3.97
48Shot attempts70
225v5 shots on goal32
1/3Power play2/2
44Hits25
15Blocked shots9
4Penalty minutes6
11Giveaways14
9Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.07 xGTOR 3.97 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTOR goal, 1:44TBL goal, 9:57TBL goal, 12:16TOR goal, 19:53TBL goal, 4:02TBL goal, 9:11TOR goal, 9:36TBL goal, 19:31

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL27 on goal, 5 scored
TOR38 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. StamkosC134350+2219:593:38
O. PalatLW213522+3021:223:19
T. RaddyshRW112221+1218:373:19
A. KillornLW0224410018:193:19
P. BellemareLW101120+1013:530:00
C. PerryRW011120+1013:351:44
R. ColtonC0001620016:451:25
M. JosephRW0001100014:210:00
P. MaroonLW000000+1014:191:42
R. NashC0000000011:240:00
B. KatchoukLW0001400010:190:00
G. FortierLW000021009:260:02
V. HedmanD000311+1023:473:33
R. McDonaghD000041+2021:131:34
J. RuttaD0000230019:570:10
M. SergachevD000120+1019:231:30
Z. BogosianD0003300017:230:00
C. FooteD000123+2014:580:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy38353.92159:59Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. TavaresC022310-2018:281:01
O. KaseRW202401+1218:101:01
A. MatthewsC011322-2024:291:01
W. NylanderRW101300-3020:151:01
M. BuntingLW000300-1018:550:00
A. KerfootC000220-3013:570:00
W. SimmondsRW000300-2213:550:00
D. KampfC0001100013:390:00
N. RitchieLW000120+1012:550:00
P. EngvallLW000000009:100:00
A. SteevesC000011007:170:00
K. CliffordLW000030007:120:00
J. MuzzinD011431-1025:100:00
M. RiellyD011401-2023:031:01
T. BrodieD000000-1020:210:00
T. LiljegrenD000410+1018:400:00
J. HollD000123-2018:270:00
K. RubinsD0002700212:080:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Campbell26224.84658:36Loss
J. Woll000–0:00