Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TOR2
Final/OTWed, Jan 3, 2024Every game that night
ANA1

TOR beat ANA 2-1 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 5.71 expected goals to 2.25. TOR outshot ANA 57 to 28. M. Rielly led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). M. Jones stopped 27 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR00112
ANA01001
  1. 2nd 11:41ANAF. VatranoSH0.16 xG
  2. 3rd 14:17TORJ. TavaresPP0.75 xG
  3. OT 2:12TORA. Matthews0.21 xG

Team Stats

TORANA
57Shots on goal28
5.71Expected goals2.25
103Shot attempts44
295v5 shots on goal18
1/5Power play0/2
16Hits20
12Blocked shots24
24Penalty minutes27
12Giveaways13
2Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 5.71 xGANA 2.25 xGGoal

01234561st2nd3rdOTANA goal, 11:41TOR goal, 14:17TOR goal, 2:12

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR56 on goal, 2 scored
ANA28 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW011710+1025:156:47
A. MatthewsC1011321+1025:116:47
W. NylanderRW0118000023:536:36
J. TavaresC1017000019:406:36
M. KniesLW0003100015:441:53
D. KampfC0001000014:170:04
T. BertuzziLW000100-1213:041:56
N. GregorLW0001100011:390:04
C. JarnkrokC0003100011:361:47
M. DomiC000200-109:081:51
P. HolmbergRW000001-108:560:08
B. McMannC0000100206:360:00
M. RiellyD022403+1026:175:36
T. LiljegrenD000050-1020:112:17
T. BrodieD0000110019:440:00
J. McCabeD000213-1017:070:04
S. BenoitD0004120215:070:04
M. GiordanoD0001110014:530:20
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Jones28271.96461:30Win
D. Hildeby000–0:00

ANA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. McTavishC011313+1019:492:19
F. VatranoRW101521+1218:462:04
A. HenriqueC000100-1020:111:39
A. KillornLW0004200218:502:28
T. ZegrasC000301-1018:132:42
M. JonesLW0004100214:291:53
B. LeasonRW0001130013:240:00
S. CarrickC0002610012:512:09
B. McGinnLW0000400012:210:00
I. LundestromC0000020010:430:00
J. SilfverbergRW000000008:531:57
B. GroulxC000020006:120:00
J. DrysdaleD011200+1421:352:21
C. FowlerD0001010028:401:59
J. LaCombeD0000120020:430:02
U. VaakanainenD000102+1020:290:00
P. MintyukovD000004-1013:550:07
I. LyubushkinD00010401713:120:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Dostal57552.96562:12OT loss
J. Gibson000–0:00