Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
TOR6
FinalWed, Feb 21, 2024Every game that night
ARI3

TOR beat ARI 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.98 expected goals to 2.26. TOR outshot ARI 36 to 26. M. Marner led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). I. Samsonov stopped 23 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR3126
ARI0303
  1. 1st 1:56TORB. McMann0.06 xG
  2. 1st 5:01TORA. MatthewsPP0.03 xG
  3. 1st 15:27TORW. NylanderPP0.24 xG
  4. 2nd 4:28ARIM. Maccelli0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 5:38ARIB. Hayton0.06 xG
  6. 2nd 16:07TORA. Matthews0.13 xG
  7. 2nd 19:53ARID. GuentherPP0.13 xG
  8. 3rd 2:00TORW. Nylander0.10 xG
  9. 3rd 8:24TORJ. Tavares0.08 xG

Team Stats

TORARI
36Shots on goal26
3.98Expected goals2.26
65Shot attempts64
205v5 shots on goal18
2/5Power play1/3
21Hits35
17Blocked shots13
10Penalty minutes12
2Giveaways7
2Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.98 xGARI 2.26 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTOR goal, 1:56TOR goal, 5:01TOR goal, 15:27ARI goal, 4:28ARI goal, 5:38TOR goal, 16:07ARI goal, 19:53TOR goal, 2:00TOR goal, 8:24

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR35 on goal, 6 scored
ARI26 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW0332200018:433:16
W. NylanderRW202700+1419:466:22
A. MatthewsC2024100019:346:36
J. TavaresC112401+1217:054:52
B. McMannC112121+2011:280:52
N. RobertsonLW011101+1011:221:21
T. BertuzziLW0002110016:394:41
M. DomiC000202+1215:192:47
D. KampfC000120+1014:130:00
M. KniesLW000211-1012:411:39
P. HolmbergRW0001010211:430:00
N. GregorLW000310-1010:510:00
T. LiljegrenD022234+1022:375:07
T. BrodieD022202+3021:270:12
J. McCabeD000122-1020:140:25
S. BenoitD0001300018:380:00
M. LajoieD0000110016:421:20
M. RifaiD000020+1011:460:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov26233.88559:39Win
M. Jones000–0:00

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW011121-2018:544:53
D. GuentherRW101300-2017:394:54
B. HaytonC101300-1015:402:19
A. KerfootC011111-1014:260:00
M. MaccelliLW101100+1013:430:40
N. BjugstadC011010+1010:470:39
N. SchmaltzC000032-1018:574:53
L. CrouseLW0001400016:011:05
L. CooleyC000210-1012:270:33
J. ZuckerLW000240-1012:042:16
J. McBainC000151+1011:460:00
M. CarconeLW000211029:140:00
S. DurziD011203-2422:574:43
J. BrownD0113420020:120:00
J. MoserD000211-1024:430:50
J. VälimäkiD000111+1020:160:00
M. DumbaD0000300417:180:00
M. KesselringD000140-129:350:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka36306.83360:00Loss
M. Villalta000–0:00