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Game Recap
TOR5
FinalSat, Nov 13, 2021Every game that night
BUF4

TOR beat BUF 5-4, with the chances close: 2.02 expected goals to 2.17. J. Skinner led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Woll stopped 23 of 27.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR1225
BUF1124
  1. 1st 2:43TORD. Kampf0.20 xG
  2. 1st 14:42BUFJ. Skinner0.02 xG
  3. 2nd 7:18TORO. Kase0.04 xG
  4. 2nd 8:28TORM. Bunting0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 17:33BUFT. Thompson0.12 xG
  6. 3rd 9:22TORJ. TavaresPP0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 10:47BUFJ. Skinner0.06 xG
  8. 3rd 11:46BUFR. Dahlin0.04 xG
  9. 3rd 19:48TORM. Rielly0.06 xG

Team Stats

TORBUF
26Shots on goal27
2.02Expected goals2.17
42Shot attempts56
225v5 shots on goal25
1/1Power play0/2
7Hits7
12Blocked shots9
4Penalty minutes2
10Giveaways3
1Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.02 xGBUF 2.17 xGGoal

00.511.522.51st2nd3rdTOR goal, 2:43BUF goal, 14:42TOR goal, 7:18TOR goal, 8:28BUF goal, 17:33TOR goal, 9:22BUF goal, 10:47BUF goal, 11:46TOR goal, 19:48

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR25 on goal, 5 scored
BUF27 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. TavaresC1122100017:111:08
A. KerfootC022300+2014:270:00
A. MatthewsC011300+1019:191:08
M. MarnerRW011200-1018:191:08
O. KaseRW1012010017:520:00
D. KampfC101100+1015:330:00
P. EngvallLW011100+2213:440:48
M. BuntingLW101100-1010:030:48
J. SpezzaC011201-108:590:48
W. NylanderRW000200-2016:411:08
N. RitchieLW0001200015:400:48
K. SemyonovC000010-109:520:00
M. RiellyD112412+3024:351:08
J. MuzzinD011010-1022:410:48
T. BrodieD000004+3221:300:00
J. HollD000013-1020:390:00
T. LiljegrenD000201-2015:040:00
T. DermottD000000-2013:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Woll27234.85260:00Win
J. Campbell000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW213421+1018:592:10
T. ThompsonC112400+1019:302:09
K. OkposoRW022301+2016:201:37
A. RuotsalainenC0110000210:541:04
R. AsplundC0001100018:412:36
D. CozensC000100-2016:402:30
Z. GirgensonsC0000100015:201:20
V. HinostrozaC000300-1015:090:00
D. CaggiulaLW000001-1014:000:00
C. EakinC000100+1013:530:04
A. BjorkLW0000000011:210:04
J. HaydenC000010-109:190:04
C. MillerD0110120023:152:00
R. DahlinD101300+2022:252:13
J. BrysonD000002-1024:231:47
M. PysykD000300+1018:280:22
R. HaggD000412-1017:540:00
W. ButcherD000000-1011:450:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Dell26215.80859:48Loss
D. Tokarski000–0:00