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Game Recap
TOR3
FinalSun, Nov 6, 2022Every game that night
CAR1

TOR beat CAR 3-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.02 expected goals to 3.09. CAR outshot TOR 30 to 21. E. Kallgren stopped 29 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR0123
CAR1001
  1. 1st 8:11CARS. NoesenPP0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 18:30TORC. Jarnkrok0.06 xG
  3. 3rd 8:24TORJ. Tavares0.13 xG
  4. 3rd 16:25TORW. Nylander0.18 xG

Team Stats

TORCAR
21Shots on goal30
2.02Expected goals3.09
42Shot attempts69
205v5 shots on goal26
0/1Power play1/2
17Hits25
14Blocked shots9
4Penalty minutes2
6Giveaways8
2Takeaways13

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.02 xGCAR 3.09 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdCAR goal, 8:11TOR goal, 18:30TOR goal, 8:24TOR goal, 16:25

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR21 on goal, 3 scored
CAR30 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC0110110018:291:29
W. NylanderRW101311+1018:061:30
M. MarnerRW011011+1017:011:30
J. TavaresC101201+1016:451:29
C. JarnkrokC101100+1012:420:30
P. EngvallLW011200+1012:370:00
N. RobertsonLW011000+1011:010:00
A. KerfootC0001000018:530:31
D. KampfC000211+1014:010:00
M. BuntingLW000000+1213:380:31
D. MalginC0005100013:080:30
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000230+1013:030:00
J. HollD011000+3221:250:00
T. BrodieD000121+3022:520:00
M. RiellyD0000100020:451:23
M. GiordanoD0001230018:370:00
R. SandinD0001320017:500:37
T. LiljegrenD0000130016:240:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Kallgren30291.96760:00Win
K. Petruzzelli000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. SvechnikovRW011010-2017:401:37
S. NoesenRW101410-1011:261:36
S. AhoC000000-2019:411:34
T. TeravainenC0000200018:111:07
M. NecasC000301-2017:521:36
S. JarvisRW0002100017:331:06
J. StaalC0003400016:080:00
J. KotkaniemiC0000200216:041:09
J. MartinookLW0003400015:480:00
J. FastRW0000100014:320:00
P. StastnyC000100-1010:311:07
D. StepanC000410-109:060:00
B. BurnsD011401-1024:391:48
J. SlavinD000212-1023:480:00
B. PesceD000103-1021:520:55
B. SkjeiD000111-1021:280:00
J. ChatfieldD000030-1012:350:00
C. de HaanD000231-1011:390:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Andersen21183.85757:27Loss
A. Raanta000–0:00