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Game Recap
TOR5
Final/OTFri, Dec 29, 2023Every game that night
CBJ6

CBJ beat TOR 6-5 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 1.98 expected goals to 3.04. TOR outshot CBJ 33 to 21. J. Gaudreau led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). S. Martin stopped 16 of 19.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR23005
CBJ13116
  1. 1st 4:14TORM. Marner0.05 xG
  2. 1st 11:17CBJC. Sillinger0.12 xG
  3. 1st 12:55TORA. Matthews0.06 xG
  4. 2nd 1:35TORN. Robertson0.15 xG
  5. 2nd 3:20CBJB. Gaunce0.17 xG
  6. 2nd 9:42TORW. NylanderPP0.05 xG
  7. 2nd 11:05CBJD. VoronkovPP0.17 xG
  8. 2nd 12:43CBJK. Johnson0.21 xG
  9. 2nd 19:05TORJ. TavaresPP0.23 xG
  10. 3rd 13:46CBJA. Fantilli0.04 xG
  11. OT 2:56CBJJ. Gaudreau0.19 xG

Team Stats

TORCBJ
33Shots on goal21
3.04Expected goals1.98
61Shot attempts53
295v5 shots on goal16
2/4Power play1/2
13Hits14
17Blocked shots12
11Penalty minutes13
2Giveaways1
6Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.04 xGCBJ 1.98 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 4:14CBJ goal, 11:17TOR goal, 12:55TOR goal, 1:35CBJ goal, 3:20TOR goal, 9:42CBJ goal, 11:05CBJ goal, 12:43TOR goal, 19:05CBJ goal, 13:46CBJ goal, 2:56

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR32 on goal, 5 scored
CBJ20 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. MatthewsC112403+2023:473:40
M. MarnerRW112510+2223:263:35
W. NylanderRW112201-3219:253:37
J. TavaresC101411-2017:303:41
M. DomiC011101-1013:070:43
N. RobertsonLW101100-1010:380:42
M. KniesLW000010+2015:340:00
T. BertuzziLW000002-1015:050:46
C. JarnkrokC0004100213:420:48
N. GregorLW000110-1012:180:07
D. KampfC000000-1012:100:07
B. McMannC000131-109:000:07
M. RiellyD033212-1025:293:12
T. LiljegrenD0110020018:221:18
T. BrodieD0000010022:240:07
J. McCabeD000221-1021:150:00
S. BenoitD000421-1516:130:00
M. GiordanoD0002010014:490:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov21156.71462:35OT loss
M. Jones000–0:00

CBJ Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GaudreauLW1232000016:131:56
J. DanforthRW0111100017:410:00
A. TexierLW0111000216:390:00
A. FantilliC1012420015:300:00
C. SillingerC101221+1215:160:00
K. JohnsonC101101+2014:150:00
D. VoronkovLW1012100213:101:42
B. GaunceC1013300013:060:00
E. BemstromC011101+2011:530:00
K. MarchenkoRW000100+1016:011:56
J. RoslovicC000010-1016:000:00
E. ChinakhovRW0000100014:521:00
D. SeversonD022201+2223:420:14
J. BeanD011101+1022:060:00
I. ProvorovD0110100019:541:56
D.JiricekD0000020021:010:01
E. GudbransonD000002+1519:420:00
A. PeekeD000201-1014:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Merzlikins14122.85720:00
S. Martin19163.84242:56Win

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.