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Game Recap
TOR2
Final/OTMon, Apr 10, 2023Every game that night
FLA1

TOR beat FLA 2-1 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.44 expected goals to 3.41. FLA outshot TOR 46 to 25. I. Samsonov stopped 45 of 46.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR01012
FLA00101
  1. 2nd 17:47TORA. Matthews0.14 xG
  2. 3rd 9:36FLAB. Montour0.02 xG
  3. OT 4:38TORJ. Tavares0.19 xG

Team Stats

TORFLA
25Shots on goal46
2.44Expected goals3.41
48Shot attempts83
225v5 shots on goal38
0/1Power play0/2
25Hits36
23Blocked shots11
4Penalty minutes2
6Giveaways15
10Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.44 xGFLA 3.41 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 17:47FLA goal, 9:36TOR goal, 4:38

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR25 on goal, 2 scored
FLA45 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW011100+2021:381:00
A. MatthewsC101401+1021:011:00
J. TavaresC1013100019:150:57
W. NylanderRW000300-1019:441:03
R. O'ReillyC000120-1018:501:02
N. AcciariC0000620018:270:06
M. BuntingLW000430+1217:530:54
D. KampfC0001100013:560:08
M. KniesLW0000110013:090:52
A. KerfootC0002000212:540:44
Z. Aston-ReeseLW0000200010:090:00
T. BrodieD0112170023:110:00
M. RiellyD0111040020:101:16
J. McCabeD000014+1019:360:00
M. GiordanoD0001020017:500:44
J. HollD0001010017:160:00
T. LiljegrenD0001010013:410:14
L. SchennD0000700011:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov46451.97864:38Win
N. Chenard000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. VerhaegheC011200-1018:361:26
M. TkachukLW000830-1022:344:00
A. BarkovC0002210022:282:58
S. ReinhartC000221+1021:413:17
E. LuostarinenC0004000019:050:43
A. LundellC0001100018:350:00
E. StaalC0001000016:140:00
A. DuclairLW000331-1015:121:02
R. LombergLW0004700014:260:00
N. CousinsC000230006:460:00
G. SmithRW000111006:400:00
C. WhiteC000012006:010:00
B. MontourD101401-1227:513:07
M. StaalD0112310020:030:00
G. ForslingD0003110026:130:53
A. EkbladD0003110025:292:34
R. GudasD0004410013:400:00
J. MahuraD0000400010:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Lyon25232.92064:38OT loss
S. Bobrovsky000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamSergei Bobrovsky TOR First game back in South Florida, his team until Apr 20260 saves on 0

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.