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Game Recap
TOR4
Final/OTSun, Nov 19, 2023Every game that night
MIN3

TOR beat MIN 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.35 expected goals to 3.04. MIN outshot TOR 36 to 25. M. Rielly led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Woll stopped 33 of 36.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR20114
MIN10203
  1. 1st 2:37MINJ. Merrill0.05 xG
  2. 1st 12:43TORA. MatthewsPP0.02 xG
  3. 1st 18:23TORM. Knies0.12 xG
  4. 3rd 4:22TORM. Rielly0.03 xG
  5. 3rd 6:10MINJ. Middleton0.06 xG
  6. 3rd 8:42MINM. Zuccarello0.13 xG
  7. OT 3:09TORW. Nylander0.21 xG

Team Stats

TORMIN
25Shots on goal36
2.35Expected goals3.04
59Shot attempts68
205v5 shots on goal29
1/2Power play0/3
14Hits22
16Blocked shots18
6Penalty minutes4
4Giveaways6
4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 2.35 xGMIN 3.04 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTMIN goal, 2:37TOR goal, 12:43TOR goal, 18:23TOR goal, 4:22MIN goal, 6:10MIN goal, 8:42TOR goal, 3:09

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR25 on goal, 4 scored
MIN36 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. NylanderRW1123000023:091:28
A. MatthewsC112201+1021:181:28
M. MarnerRW022111+1220:511:28
M. KniesLW101120+1015:520:37
J. TavaresC0002200019:071:28
T. BertuzziLW0001120016:150:37
C. JarnkrokC000100-2015:280:37
D. KampfC0000000013:310:00
N. GregorLW0000000012:340:00
B. McMannC000000008:130:00
M. DomiC000101-107:580:37
N. RobertsonLW000210-107:420:00
M. RiellyD123511-1026:031:25
M. GiordanoD011003+1019:540:40
T. BrodieD0001020225:440:00
J. McCabeD000413+1222:530:00
W. LagessonD000132-1015:460:00
S. BenoitD000020-1011:090:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Woll36333.91763:09Win
I. Samsonov000–0:00

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. ZuccarelloRW112400+2219:004:06
J. Eriksson EkC011611+1020:174:09
M. RossiC011100+1018:131:51
M. FolignoLW011122+1015:350:00
K. KaprizovLW000421+2019:394:21
R. HartmanRW000230+1017:541:54
M. BoldyLW000100-2016:124:09
F. GaudreauC000011-2015:041:51
M. JohanssonLW000241-3014:521:39
C. DewarC0002300012:360:00
P. MaroonLW0000000011:390:00
B. DuhaimeLW000130009:320:00
J. BrodinD0113020025:181:42
B. FaberD011114+1023:590:00
J. MiddletonD101114-1019:010:00
J. MerrillD101301+1013:180:00
J. SpurgeonD000200-1222:404:18
Z. BogosianD000211+1012:330:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Fleury25214.84063:09OT loss
F. Gustavsson000–0:00