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Game Recap
TOR2
Final/OTSat, Jan 21, 2023Every game that night
MTL3

MTL beat TOR 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.92 expected goals to 4.62. R. Pitlick led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Montembeault stopped 36 of 38.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR20002
MTL02013
  1. 1st 0:53TORM. Giordano0.20 xG
  2. 1st 17:30TORC. Jarnkrok0.16 xG
  3. 2nd 1:46MTLJ. Anderson0.11 xG
  4. 2nd 13:35MTLR. Harvey-Pinard0.05 xG
  5. OT 2:14MTLR. Pitlick0.10 xG

Team Stats

TORMTL
38Shots on goal31
4.62Expected goals2.92
78Shot attempts52
295v5 shots on goal20
0/2Power play0/4
14Hits31
14Blocked shots23
10Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways21
3Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 4.62 xGMTL 2.92 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 0:53TOR goal, 17:30MTL goal, 1:46MTL goal, 13:35MTL goal, 2:14

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR37 on goal, 2 scored
MTL31 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW011602+1023:043:27
A. MatthewsC011312-1019:513:21
W. NylanderRW0117010219:263:20
C. JarnkrokC101100+1213:400:33
D. KampfC000210-1019:090:00
J. TavaresC0003000016:253:20
M. BuntingLW000300-1013:540:37
A. KerfootC0001000012:180:00
P. EngvallLW000300-1012:040:40
B. McMannC0001200012:040:00
Z. Aston-ReeseLW000020028:510:00
W. SimmondsRW000010006:450:00
M. GiordanoD1012030220:120:03
C. TimminsD0111210015:100:39
M. RiellyD0003010024:513:15
J. HollD0000130023:450:00
T. LiljegrenD0002100020:220:00
R. SandinD000031-1215:100:45
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov31283.90361:55OT loss
M. Murray000–0:00

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. PitlickC112122+2015:292:57
N. SuzukiC011210+1025:396:08
M. HoffmanC0112000019:435:32
J. AndersonRW101460+1018:202:08
R. Harvey-PinardLW1012300013:480:04
M. PezzettaLW0111610011:050:03
A. BelzileRW0110010010:350:05
K. DachC000431-1222:495:33
C. DvorakC0003010019:502:58
E. DadonovLW0003010215:494:18
J. YlonenRW000102-1014:431:44
D. SavardD011216+1023:130:17
M. MathesonD000214+1223:565:09
J. BarronD0000200015:471:01
J. EdmundsonD000211-1015:370:00
A. XhekajD0001410012:260:56
J. HarrisD000000-1011:320:07
J. KovacevicD000112+1010:460:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Montembeault38362.94761:49Win
C. Primeau000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.