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Game Recap
TOR5
Final/OTTue, Dec 27, 2022Every game that night
STL4

TOR beat STL 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.70 expected goals to 2.80. C. Jarnkrok led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). I. Samsonov stopped 30 of 34.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
TOR22015
STL12104
  1. 1st 3:08TORJ. Holl0.01 xG
  2. 1st 7:34STLC. Rosen0.08 xG
  3. 1st 19:03TORJ. Tavares0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 5:26TORA. KerfootSH0.25 xG
  5. 2nd 7:39STLR. O'Reilly0.10 xG
  6. 2nd 9:30STLJ. FaulkPP0.07 xG
  7. 2nd 15:16TORC. Jarnkrok0.06 xG
  8. 3rd 5:13STLJ. Kyrou0.02 xG
  9. OT 4:03TORW. Nylander0.09 xG

Team Stats

TORSTL
37Shots on goal34
4.70Expected goals2.80
60Shot attempts62
275v5 shots on goal24
0/2Power play1/4
11Hits36
15Blocked shots9
8Penalty minutes4
2Giveaways6
9Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 4.70 xGSTL 2.80 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTTOR goal, 3:08STL goal, 7:34TOR goal, 19:03TOR goal, 5:26STL goal, 7:39STL goal, 9:30TOR goal, 15:16STL goal, 5:13TOR goal, 4:03

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR36 on goal, 5 scored
STL34 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. JarnkrokC123210+1015:071:19
A. MatthewsC011501+2022:222:52
W. NylanderRW101300+2021:282:44
M. MarnerRW011101-1019:483:10
J. TavaresC1014100214:532:26
P. EngvallLW0113000013:000:53
A. KerfootC1014000211:290:00
P. HolmbergRW011011+1210:550:39
M. BuntingLW000600+1019:372:34
D. KampfC000200-2016:130:00
Z. Aston-ReeseLW0001210010:550:00
J. AndersonRW000121007:420:00
J. HollD1011130222:570:00
M. GiordanoD0111030022:061:53
T. LiljegrenD011002+2019:400:00
T. BrodieD000100+1024:570:00
C. TimminsD000100-1017:321:30
J. BennD000132+1013:570:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Samsonov34304.88264:03Win
M. Murray000–0:00

STL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. TarasenkoRW011520-3021:376:04
R. ThomasC011001-2021:363:48
J. KyrouRW101500-2021:023:56
R. O'ReillyC1015000020:583:49
P. BuchnevichLW0111300020:033:41
B. SchennC011160-1019:163:29
A. ToropchenkoRW011010+109:270:00
L. BrownC011010+106:200:00
I. BarbashevLW000032-1017:061:44
B. SaadLW0003000014:283:32
N. AcciariC0002920013:170:00
J. LeivoLW000010+105:510:00
C. ParaykoD011442-2028:033:16
J. FaulkD1013210026:074:15
C. RosenD1012100014:020:01
N. LeddyD000120-1222:300:00
N. MikkolaD0001010013:350:00
R. BortuzzoD000110+1212:510:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Binnington37325.86564:03OT loss
T. Greiss000–0:00