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Game Recap
TOR4
FinalSat, Jan 20, 2024Every game that night
VAN6

VAN beat TOR 6-4 despite fewer good chances: 2.43 expected goals to 3.01. TOR outshot VAN 46 to 21. C. Garland led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). T. Demko stopped 42 of 46.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TOR0314
VAN3126
  1. 1st 3:06VANN. Hoglander0.27 xG
  2. 1st 6:00VANN. Hoglander0.02 xG
  3. 1st 12:58VANC. Garland0.20 xG
  4. 2nd 4:53TORW. Nylander0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 7:26TORJ. McCabe0.11 xG
  6. 2nd 8:19TORW. Nylander0.01 xG
  7. 2nd 19:00VANC. Garland0.32 xG
  8. 3rd 3:13TORM. MarnerSH0.24 xG
  9. 3rd 7:11VANJ. MillerPP0.22 xG
  10. 3rd 10:42VANE. PetterssonPP0.08 xG

Team Stats

TORVAN
46Shots on goal21
3.01Expected goals2.43
76Shot attempts49
325v5 shots on goal17
0/5Power play2/3
40Hits52
14Blocked shots19
14Penalty minutes18
7Giveaways1
4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TOR 3.01 xGVAN 2.43 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdVAN goal, 3:06VAN goal, 6:00VAN goal, 12:58TOR goal, 4:53TOR goal, 7:26TOR goal, 8:19VAN goal, 19:00TOR goal, 3:13VAN goal, 7:11VAN goal, 10:42

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TOR45 on goal, 4 scored
VAN20 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW112502+1023:366:16
W. NylanderRW2023000022:355:48
A. MatthewsC011740+1023:136:19
C. JarnkrokC000340-1420:592:41
J. TavaresC000610+2020:076:18
M. KniesLW000121-2014:541:14
M. DomiC000080-1214:191:10
T. BertuzziLW000110+2013:380:55
P. HolmbergRW000151-1011:440:43
D. KampfC000210-1010:190:00
N. GregorLW000111007:080:00
B. McMannC000230-106:180:00
M. RiellyD02210020423:224:03
T. BrodieD0110010219:280:00
J. McCabeD101142+1018:570:27
T. LiljegrenD0001220019:011:43
M. GiordanoD0001120216:461:17
S. BenoitD000130-1013:190:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Jones21156.71456:33Loss
I. Samsonov000–0:00

VAN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. GarlandRW213310+1013:060:24
E. PetterssonC112491-2020:123:01
J. MillerC112192-2019:013:06
T. BluegerC022132+1017:260:00
N. HoglanderLW202221+2010:500:18
D. JoshuaC011061+1016:370:00
N. AmanC011030+2011:000:18
S. LaffertyC011040+109:400:41
B. BoeserRW000132-2019:413:03
P. SuterC000000-2414:513:02
I. MikheyevRW000310-1012:130:25
A. KuzmenkoLW0000000010:420:20
Q. HughesD033100+1421:203:26
T. MyersD000045-3422:130:00
F. HronekD000100+1422:110:18
I. ColeD000113+3019:210:00
N. ZadorovD000261+2218:380:18
C. SoucyD000101-3013:400:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
T. Demko46424.91359:22Win
C. DeSmith000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.