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Game Recap
VAN4
LAK2
VAN beat LAK 4-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.94 expected goals to 2.00. Q. Hughes led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Kempe had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.7. K. Lankinen stopped 26 of 28.
Team Stats
VANLAK
23Shots on goal28
2.94Expected goals2.00
63Shot attempts65
165v5 shots on goal16
1/3Power play0/4
33Hits26
18Blocked shots21
12Penalty minutes21
11Giveaways15
4Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
VAN 2.94 xGLAK 2.00 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Garland | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:43 | 4:46 |
| J. Miller | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:13 | 4:53 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:47 | 2:18 |
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 4:19 |
| P. Suter | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:46 | 3:57 |
| D. Heinen | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:41 | 1:51 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0:02 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0:00 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:32 | 1:23 |
| D. Sprong | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:32 | 1:36 |
| A. Räty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0:00 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | 1:25 |
| Q. Hughes | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 23:22 | 5:17 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:49 | 1:54 |
| T. Myers | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22:37 | 0:00 |
| C. Soucy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0:04 |
| V. Desharnais | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0:00 |
| E. Brannstrom | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lankinen | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 60:00 | Win |
| A. Silovs | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Byfield | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 2:35 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | 2:33 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 2:46 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 4:58 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:48 | 2:34 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:52 | 5:10 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:14 | 5:00 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:30 | 5:09 |
| A. Thomas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 10:03 | 0:08 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:51 | 0:00 |
| A. Lee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 6:58 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:12 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:33 | 0:01 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 0 | 21:37 | 3:04 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 20:20 | 0:06 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 2 | 20:01 | 4:41 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0:00 |
| K. Burroughs | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:28 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 22 | 20 | 3 | .909 | 58:01 | Loss |
| D. Rittich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | VAN 2.8, LAK 3.0 | VAN 4, LAK 2 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | VAN 24.5, LAK 28.7 | VAN 23, LAK 28 |
| Win chance | LAK 53% | VAN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.7 | 6 | 0.85 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.5 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| VAN C. Garland | 2.4 | 2 | 0.65 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.3 | 3 | 0.54 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.2 | 1 | 0.47 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| VAN J. Miller | 2.1 | 2 | 0.95 | 1 | 29% | 1 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.1 | 1 | 0.74 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| VAN Q. Hughes | 2.1 | 2 | 0.87 | 2 | 10% | 1 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 2.0 | 1 | 0.81 | 0 | 28% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 1.9 | 2 | 0.47 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.9 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN D. Sprong | 1.9 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.9 | 3 | 0.59 | 1 | 16% | 1 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 1.8 | 5 | 0.52 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.7 | 3 | 0.56 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Thomas | 1.6 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| VAN K. Sherwood | 1.4 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.4 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.4 | 1 | 0.79 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VAN P. Suter | 1.4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.4 | 0 | 0.43 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.4 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.3 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| VAN D. Heinen | 1.3 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.3 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN T. Myers | 1.1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK A. Lee | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.9 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN C. Soucy | 0.8 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN A. Räty | 0.8 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| VAN E. Brannstrom | 0.8 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| LAK K. Burroughs | 0.7 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| VAN V. Desharnais | 0.5 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.