Game Recap: VAN 1, LAK 4, April 9, 2026

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Game Recap

VAN1

FinalThu, Apr 9, 2026Every game that night

LAK4

LAK beat VAN 4-1, with the chances close: 2.76 expected goals to 2.36. A. Kempe led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). J. Edmundson had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.0. A. Forsberg stopped 24 of 25.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
VAN	1	0	0	1
LAK	2	1	1	4

1st 1:29LAKA. Kempe0.16 xG
1st 14:17VANM. Pettersson0.10 xG
1st 15:48LAKJ. Armia0.06 xG
2nd 19:31LAKA. Kempe0.06 xG
3rd 9:17LAKT. Moore0.13 xG

Team Stats

VANLAK

25Shots on goal26

2.36Expected goals2.76

57Shot attempts48

215v5 shots on goal23

0/0Power play0/0

21Hits19

11Blocked shots15

2Penalty minutes2

17Giveaways17

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

VAN 2.36 xGLAK 2.76 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

VAN25 on goal, 1 scored

LAK25 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Boeser	RW	0	1	1	2	1	0	+1	0	19:14	0:00
L. Ohgren	LW	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	16:09	0:00
E. Pettersson	C	0	0	0	3	2	1	-2	0	19:31	0:00
D. O'Connor	LW	0	0	0	3	2	1	-2	0	18:06	0:00
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	0	17:18	0:00
M. Rossi	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	16:50	0:00
T. Blueger	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	-2	0	14:59	0:00
L. Karlsson	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:56	0:00
M. Sasson	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	12:43	0:00
N. Hoglander	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	12:18	0:00
A. Räty	C	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	11:58	0:00
C. Douglas	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	9:54	0:00
M. Pettersson	D	1	0	1	1	0	0	-1	0	20:03	0:00
F. Hronek	D	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	26:18	0:00
Z. Buium	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	23:13	0:00
T. Willander	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	18:48	0:00
P. Joseph	D	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	15:04	0:00
E. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	0	3	2	-1	2	14:20	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
N. Tolopilo	26	22	4	.846	56:18	Loss
J. Patera	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Panarin	LW	0	2	2	4	0	0	+2	0	19:23	0:00
A. Kempe	RW	2	0	2	2	0	1	+2	0	18:55	0:00
A. Laferriere	RW	0	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	18:57	0:00
T. Moore	LW	1	0	1	5	2	1	+1	0	18:18	0:00
S. Laughton	C	0	1	1	0	1	1	+1	0	14:10	0:00
J. Armia	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	12:38	0:00
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	+2	0	20:09	0:00
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:33	0:00
J. Wright	RW	0	0	0	2	2	0	+1	0	12:52	0:00
T. Ward	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:10	0:00
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	2	8:08	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7:42	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	1	1	1	2	2	+1	0	23:05	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	1	1	4	0	1	+3	0	20:03	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	1	1	1	0	4	+3	0	18:07	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	23:20	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	18:03	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	-1	0	17:27	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Forsberg	25	24	1	.960	60:00	Win
D. Kuemper	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

VAN

Line 1D. O'Connor15:37E. Pettersson15:59J. DeBrusk13:58

Line 2B. Boeser15:31M. Rossi13:51L. Ohgren14:28

Line 3T. Blueger14:06L. Karlsson13:59M. Sasson12:43

Line 4N. Hoglander10:57C. Douglas9:54A. Räty11:24

Pair 1F. Hronek22:09Z. Buium21:04

Pair 2M. Pettersson19:12T. Willander17:14

Pair 3P. Joseph15:04E. Pettersson14:20

LAK

Line 1Q. Byfield16:14A. Laferriere16:44T. Moore16:37

Line 2A. Kopitar17:42A. Panarin16:45A. Kempe15:45

Line 3S. Laughton13:32J. Wright12:52J. Armia12:38

Line 4S. Helenius7:42T. Ward8:10J. Malott8:08

Pair 1D. Doughty21:01M. Anderson20:54

Pair 2B. Dumoulin17:10C. Ceci15:48

Pair 3J. Edmundson16:57B. Clarke16:51

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	VAN 2.7, LAK 3.5	VAN 1, LAK 4
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	VAN 24.2, LAK 30.1	VAN 25, LAK 26
Win chance	LAK 63%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Panarin	2.9	4	1.37	2	37%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.8	2	0.72	1	26%	0
LAK A. Kempe	2.7	2	1.07	2	36%	2
LAK T. Moore	2.4	5	0.63	1	23%	1
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.2	2	0.50	0	23%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.1	1	0.71	0	24%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.1	2	0.67	1	27%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.9	1	0.63	1	12%	0
VAN D. O'Connor	1.8	3	0.42	0	18%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	1.6	3	0.70	0	24%	0
VAN F. Hronek	1.6	3	0.56	0	8%	0
VAN L. Karlsson	1.6	0	0.47	0	17%	0
LAK S. Laughton	1.5	0	0.43	1	17%	0
VAN L. Ohgren	1.5	1	0.35	1	14%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.5	1	0.86	0	25%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	1	0.59	0	14%	0
VAN M. Rossi	1.4	0	0.60	0	20%	0
VAN T. Blueger	1.4	2	0.39	0	12%	0
LAK J. Wright	1.3	2	0.25	0	9%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	2	0.36	1	15%	1
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	4	0.26	1	5%	0
VAN A. Räty	1.0	3	0.24	0	11%	0
VAN M. Sasson	0.9	3	0.29	0	15%	0
VAN T. Willander	0.9	0	0.32	0	7%	0
LAK T. Ward	0.9	0	0.22	0	9%	0
VAN N. Hoglander	0.9	1	0.25	0	12%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.9	1	0.32	1	6%	0
VAN Z. Buium	0.8	0	0.27	0	5%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.8	0	0.16	0	6%	0
VAN C. Douglas	0.8	0	0.09	0	4%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	0.8	1	0.27	1	4%	1
LAK C. Ceci	0.7	0	0.19	0	4%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.7	0	0.19	0	9%	0
VAN P. Joseph	0.7	1	0.14	0	3%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	0.6	0	0.13	0	3%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.6	0	0.23	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.