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Game Recap
WPG5
FinalSun, Mar 3, 2024Every game that night
BUF2

WPG beat BUF 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.20 expected goals to 2.40. WPG outshot BUF 35 to 19. J. Morrissey led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). L. Brossoit stopped 17 of 19.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WPG1045
BUF1102
  1. 1st 17:33BUFJ. PeterkaPP0.13 xG
  2. 1st 19:54WPGN. Niederreiter0.04 xG
  3. 2nd 9:20BUFE. Robinson0.10 xG
  4. 3rd 10:38WPGJ. Morrissey0.22 xG
  5. 3rd 13:55WPGM. Barron0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 18:39WPGV. NamestnikovEN0.89 xG
  7. 3rd 19:06WPGS. MonahanEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

WPGBUF
35Shots on goal19
4.20Expected goals2.40
67Shot attempts50
295v5 shots on goal15
0/2Power play1/2
23Hits22
19Blocked shots22
4Penalty minutes4
1Giveaways5
5Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WPG 4.20 xGBUF 2.40 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 17:33WPG goal, 19:54BUF goal, 9:20WPG goal, 10:38WPG goal, 13:55WPG goal, 18:39WPG goal, 19:06

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WPG33 on goal, 5 scored
BUF19 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WPG Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. NamestnikovC112230+2016:561:06
M. ScheifeleC011120+2019:571:48
K. ConnorLW011202+1018:321:55
N. NiederreiterRW101330+1015:572:11
S. MonahanC101301+1015:481:43
A. LowryC011332+3014:490:00
M. AppletonC011210+2214:410:01
C. PerfettiC0112010011:502:10
M. BarronC101211+1011:460:00
A. IafalloLW0002200016:051:46
N. EhlersLW0002120015:202:07
D. GustafssonC000011-108:130:00
J. MorrisseyD112400+1024:301:51
N. PionkD011233+2025:162:12
D. DeMeloD0002110023:050:02
B. DillonD000211+3217:470:00
D. SambergD000002+1015:240:05
N. SchmidtD000112+1011:201:03
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Brossoit19172.89559:49Win
C. Hellebuyck000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PeterkaRW1011110014:442:32
K. OkposoRW011300-1014:122:33
J. SkinnerLW011100-1214:012:30
P. KrebsC011110-1213:590:00
Z. GirgensonsC0110400011:350:00
E. RobinsonLW1012300010:580:00
J. GreenwayLW000330-3020:150:22
A. TuchRW000001-3019:500:23
T. ThompsonC000301-2017:220:29
C. MittelstadtC000100-2015:312:26
D. CozensC000221-2014:570:25
Z. BensonLW0000110012:220:00
R. DahlinD000122-4027:240:31
O. PowerD000113-2026:162:24
H. JokiharjuD000023-2023:200:00
J. BrysonD000003-1014:530:00
C. CliftonD000023+1014:320:00
R. JohnsonD000003+1010:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen33303.90959:29Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00