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Game Recap
WPG5
Final/OTSat, Mar 11, 2023Every game that night
FLA4

WPG beat FLA 5-4 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.68 expected goals to 5.15. FLA outshot WPG 48 to 27. M. Tkachuk led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 44 of 48.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
WPG31015
FLA11204
  1. 1st 6:43WPGM. ScheifelePP0.09 xG
  2. 1st 15:03WPGN. Ehlers0.03 xG
  3. 1st 16:44FLAM. TkachukPP0.07 xG
  4. 1st 19:07WPGV. NamestnikovPP0.03 xG
  5. 2nd 4:09FLAS. ReinhartPP0.12 xG
  6. 2nd 12:59WPGV. Namestnikov0.10 xG
  7. 3rd 0:33FLAM. Staal0.10 xG
  8. 3rd 6:24FLAM. TkachukPP0.08 xG
  9. OT 4:31WPGM. Scheifele0.17 xG

Team Stats

WPGFLA
27Shots on goal48
2.68Expected goals5.15
47Shot attempts80
175v5 shots on goal31
2/3Power play3/5
31Hits37
19Blocked shots13
12Penalty minutes8
7Giveaways11
8Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WPG 2.68 xGFLA 5.15 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTWPG goal, 6:43WPG goal, 15:03FLA goal, 16:44WPG goal, 19:07FLA goal, 4:09WPG goal, 12:59FLA goal, 0:33FLA goal, 6:24WPG goal, 4:31

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WPG27 on goal, 5 scored
FLA48 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WPG Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. ConnorLW033310+1219:473:30
V. NamestnikovC213322+2417:591:33
N. EhlersLW123200+2015:291:36
M. ScheifeleC202311+1019:363:07
B. WheelerRW022010+1017:183:09
N. NiederreiterRW011410+1017:303:06
A. LowryC000033-1016:061:33
M. AppletonC000320-1015:140:00
M. BarronC000120-1013:370:00
K. StenlundC0003110011:230:00
S. MaenalanenRW0000430011:090:00
D. GustafssonC000120008:480:00
N. SchmidtD011112+1021:030:41
N. PionkD0002320027:321:40
B. DillonD0001110021:540:00
D. DeMeloD000031+1220:560:00
J. MorrisseyD000012+1216:403:56
L. StanleyD0000210213:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Hellebuyck48444.91764:09Win
D. Rittich000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW213901-1222:165:57
A. BarkovC022320-2022:224:45
S. ReinhartC1124610021:585:05
C. VerhaegheC011510-1020:463:59
E. StaalC011000+1014:110:00
S. BennettC000430-1018:511:10
A. DuclairLW000310-1018:101:14
E. LuostarinenC000110-1014:520:00
R. LombergLW000040+1212:580:00
A. LundellC000311028:190:08
N. CousinsC000210006:490:00
C. WhiteC000021006:360:00
B. MontourD022322+1224:425:07
M. StaalD101153+1020:390:08
A. EkbladD000201-2023:261:50
G. ForslingD000412-1019:231:02
R. GudasD000460-1016:450:00
J. MahuraD000011-1013:480:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky27225.81564:31OT loss
A. Lyon000–0:00