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Game Recap
WSH4
FinalSun, Feb 26, 2023Every game that night
BUF7

BUF beat WSH 7-4, and the chances backed it up: 4.75 expected goals to 2.57. D. Cozens scored three for BUF. U. Luukkonen stopped 26 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
WSH2204
BUF2417
  1. 1st 10:40BUFD. Cozens0.24 xG
  2. 1st 14:45WSHD. Strome0.15 xG
  3. 1st 16:35BUFT. Thompson0.07 xG
  4. 1st 16:50WSHT. Oshie0.13 xG
  5. 2nd 5:49BUFJ. Skinner0.10 xG
  6. 2nd 8:36BUFZ. Girgensons0.18 xG
  7. 2nd 10:07BUFV. Hinostroza0.14 xG
  8. 2nd 12:49BUFD. Cozens0.15 xG
  9. 2nd 15:49WSHA. Ovechkin0.07 xG
  10. 2nd 18:40WSHS. MilanoPP0.10 xG
  11. 3rd 11:52BUFD. Cozens0.19 xG

Team Stats

WSHBUF
30Shots on goal37
2.57Expected goals4.75
51Shot attempts55
265v5 shots on goal33
1/2Power play0/3
17Hits5
10Blocked shots9
13Penalty minutes11
4Giveaways6
0Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 2.57 xGBUF 4.75 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdBUF goal, 10:40WSH goal, 14:45BUF goal, 16:35WSH goal, 16:50BUF goal, 5:49BUF goal, 8:36BUF goal, 10:07BUF goal, 12:49WSH goal, 15:49WSH goal, 18:40BUF goal, 11:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH29 on goal, 4 scored
BUF35 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. OshieRW1122200015:330:34
D. StromeC112200+1015:270:08
E. KuznetsovC011200-2016:050:34
A. OvechkinLW101700-2016:030:34
S. MilanoLW101210+1015:030:08
C. ShearyLW000111-2016:020:00
T. WilsonRW000031-2015:580:08
N. BackstromC000110-1014:340:34
L. EllerC000100-1013:330:00
N. Aube-KubelRW000330-1713:010:00
C. SmithC000100-1011:330:00
N. DowdC000000-2211:330:00
N. JensenD022110+1224:420:08
E. GustafssonD011010-2022:060:34
M. FehérváryD0003240224:440:00
T. van RiemsdykD000302-1022:290:08
M. IrwinD000101-3014:210:00
D. McIlrathD000021-3011:130:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Kuemper19145.73730:07Loss
C. Lindgren18162.88929:53

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC314800+3415:414:03
C. MittelstadtC022100+3014:360:46
V. HinostrozaC112300+2014:220:00
J. QuinnRW022000+2513:220:50
J. SkinnerLW101300+1020:384:45
T. ThompsonC101700+1019:414:06
K. OkposoRW011110+1015:180:35
T. JostC011210+1013:360:00
Z. GirgensonsC101401+1012:120:00
V. OlofssonLW000101-1016:244:10
P. KrebsC000020-1015:021:19
J. PeterkaRW000000-1012:420:45
O. PowerD011511+1027:434:08
M. SamuelssonD011100+2022:100:00
I. LyubushkinD0110030017:560:00
H. JokiharjuD0000020223:401:19
J. BrysonD000001+3013:440:34
K. ClagueD000100+209:590:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen30264.86760:00Win
E. Comrie000–0:00