Game Recap: WSH 6, PIT 3, April 11, 2026

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Game Recap

WSH6

FinalSat, Apr 11, 2026Every game that night

PIT3

WSH beat PIT 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.97 expected goals to 1.87. WSH outshot PIT 32 to 11. I. Protas led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Ovechkin had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.8. L. Thompson stopped 8 of 11.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	0	4	2	6
PIT	0	3	0	3

2nd 1:39WSHA. Protas0.15 xG
2nd 2:05PITA. Mantha0.05 xG
2nd 6:02WSHR. Leonard0.62 xG
2nd 8:08WSHT. Wilson0.19 xG
2nd 11:47PITN. Acciari0.48 xG
2nd 11:58WSHR. Leonard0.53 xG
2nd 16:50PITK. Hayes0.05 xG
3rd 5:56WSHI. ProtasPP0.13 xG
3rd 16:22WSHA. OvechkinEN0.53 xG

Team Stats

WSHPIT

32Shots on goal11

3.97Expected goals1.87

68Shot attempts41

285v5 shots on goal10

1/2Power play0/0

17Hits21

15Blocked shots16

0Penalty minutes4

17Giveaways18

3Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 3.97 xGPIT 1.87 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH32 on goal, 6 scored

PIT10 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
I. Protas	LW	1	2	3	3	0	0	0	16:06	2:40
T. Wilson	RW	1	1	2	4	0	1	+2	16:44	0:00
A. Protas	LW	1	1	2	2	0	1	+1	16:24	0:00
R. Leonard	RW	2	0	2	3	2	1	+1	14:00	0:00
D. Strome	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	-1	20:01	2:40
J. Sourdif	C	0	1	1	0	2	1	+1	17:54	2:40
C. McMichael	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	15:02	0:00
A. Ovechkin	LW	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	14:59	2:40
P. Dubois	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	7:02	0:00
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	17:56	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14:42	0:00
I. Miroshnichenko	LW	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	11:54	0:00
C. Hutson	D	0	2	2	2	2	0	-1	19:02	2:40
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	0	0	5	+2	23:09	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+3	20:00	0:00
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	2	1	4	+1	19:53	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	19:37	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	11	8	3	.727	60:00	Win
M. Gibson	0	0	0	–	0:00

PIT Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Soderblom	LW	0	1	1	0	2	1	+1	0	15:25	0:00
N. Acciari	C	1	0	1	1	0	1	+1	0	15:01	0:00
K. Hayes	RW	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	14:51	0:00
T. Novak	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	-1	0	14:32	0:00
A. Mantha	RW	1	0	1	2	1	1	-1	0	13:19	0:00
V. Koivunen	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	17:49	0:00
R. Rakell	RW	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	16:57	0:00
E. Chinakhov	RW	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	16:08	0:00
A. Hayes	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	15:22	0:00
R. McGroarty	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	14:49	0:00
J. Brazeau	RW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	2	12:27	0:00
J. Koppanen	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	12:10	0:00
R. Shea	D	0	2	2	0	1	1	+3	0	25:12	0:00
S. Girard	D	0	1	1	0	2	1	-1	0	20:43	0:00
C. Clifton	D	0	0	0	1	4	4	+1	0	24:10	0:00
J. St. Ivany	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	-2	0	18:07	0:00
I. Solovyov	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	-2	0	15:42	0:00
R. Graves	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-2	0	15:30	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Silovs	31	26	5	.839	59:06	Loss
S. Skinner	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

WSH

Line 1T. Wilson16:32A. Protas15:45I. Protas13:26

Line 2C. McMichael15:02R. Leonard14:00P. Dubois7:02

Line 3D. Strome17:21A. Beauvillier17:56A. Ovechkin12:04

Line 4B. Duhaime14:00I. Miroshnichenko11:54J. Sourdif14:20

Pair 1T. Riemsdyk19:06J. Chychrun23:09

Pair 2C. Hutson16:22M. Roy18:59

Pair 3M. Fehérváry19:37R. Sandin15:35

PIT

Line 1R. Rakell16:03E. Chinakhov15:14V. Koivunen17:49

Line 2K. Hayes14:51R. McGroarty14:49A. Hayes15:22

Line 3A. Mantha12:25T. Novak13:38J. Brazeau11:33

Line 4N. Acciari12:21E. Soderblom12:45J. Koppanen12:10

Pair 1C. Clifton21:30R. Shea22:32

Pair 2S. Girard19:49J. Ivany18:07

Pair 3R. Graves15:30I. Solovyov15:42

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamAnthony Beauvillier WSH Faces PIT, his team until Mar 20251 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 3.1, PIT 3.5	WSH 6, PIT 3
Total goals	6.6	9
Shots on goal	WSH 25.5, PIT 30.3	WSH 32, PIT 11
Win chance	PIT 56%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.8	7	0.85	1	35%	1
PIT R. Rakell	2.6	2	0.79	0	29%	0
PIT E. Chinakhov	2.3	2	0.62	0	23%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.2	0	0.59	0	19%	0
WSH T. Wilson	1.9	4	0.77	2	30%	1
WSH R. Leonard	1.8	3	0.49	2	18%	2
PIT A. Mantha	1.8	2	0.68	1	25%	1
WSH A. Beauvillier	1.8	1	0.38	0	17%	0
WSH A. Protas	1.8	2	0.63	2	22%	1
WSH C. McMichael	1.8	0	0.57	1	21%	0
PIT T. Novak	1.8	0	0.58	1	21%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.5	2	0.71	1	23%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.5	0	0.63	1	21%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.5	0	0.50	1	19%	0
PIT N. Acciari	1.4	1	0.30	1	13%	1
WSH C. Hutson	1.4	2	0.44	2	8%	0
PIT A. Hayes	1.4	1	0.24	0	13%	0
PIT R. McGroarty	1.3	0	0.26	0	10%	0
PIT J. Brazeau	1.3	0	0.37	0	16%	0
PIT E. Soderblom	1.3	0	0.29	1	13%	0
PIT K. Hayes	1.2	1	0.26	1	11%	1
WSH R. Sandin	1.1	1	0.37	0	6%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.1	2	0.27	0	5%	0
PIT V. Koivunen	0.9	0	0.23	0	7%	0
PIT J. Koppanen	0.9	1	0.17	0	9%	0
PIT S. Girard	0.9	0	0.31	1	6%	0
WSH I. Miroshnichenko	0.9	2	0.21	0	9%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.8	1	0.30	0	7%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.8	2	0.18	0	9%	0
PIT C. Clifton	0.8	1	0.21	0	5%	0
PIT R. Shea	0.8	0	0.31	2	7%	0
PIT R. Graves	0.8	0	0.14	0	5%	0
PIT I. Solovyov	0.8	0	0.26	0	3%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	0	0.23	0	3%	0
PIT J. Ivany	0.7	0	0.19	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.