Game Recap: WSH 3, SEA 0, January 23, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

WSH3

FinalThu, Jan 23, 2025Every game that night

SEA0

WSH beat SEA 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 4.02 expected goals to 1.58. WSH outshot SEA 32 to 22. C. McMichael had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.7. C. Lindgren stopped 22 of 22.

Team Stats

WSHSEA

32Shots on goal22

4.02Expected goals1.58

60Shot attempts59

325v5 shots on goal22

0/0Power play0/1

8Hits16

22Blocked shots8

2Penalty minutes0

21Giveaways20

7Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

WSH 4.02 xGSEA 1.58 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

WSH32 on goal, 2 scored

SEA22 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Protas	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	16:17	0:00
A. Ovechkin	LW	1	0	1	2	1	2	+1	0	15:24	0:00
E. Frank	RW	1	0	1	4	0	1	+1	0	11:41	0:00
D. Strome	C	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	0	18:14	0:00
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	5	1	1	+1	0	17:42	0:00
T. Wilson	RW	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	0	16:16	0:00
P. Dubois	C	0	0	0	3	0	2	+1	0	16:13	0:00
N. Dowd	C	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	15:25	0:00
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	14:15	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:00	0:00
T. Raddysh	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	2	12:02	0:00
L. Eller	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	10:31	0:00
J. Chychrun	D	0	1	1	4	1	0	+2	0	22:06	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	1	1	0	0	4	+3	0	20:27	0:00
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	21:59	0:00
M. Roy	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	19:47	0:00
R. Sandin	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	19:16	0:00
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	4	2	1	0	0	16:25	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Lindgren	22	22	0	1.000	60:00	Win
L. Thompson	0	0	0	–	0:00

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
M. Beniers	C	1	1	1	-2	20:43	2:00
J. Schwartz	LW	2	1	0	-2	20:23	2:00
K. Kakko	RW	1	0	0	-1	19:19	0:00
O. Bjorkstrand	RW	3	1	0	-1	18:09	2:00
S. Wright	C	2	0	2	0	17:40	0:00
J. McCann	LW	0	1	0	-1	16:55	2:00
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	1	0	0	16:41	0:00
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	1	1	0	14:20	0:00
B. Tanev	LW	3	3	0	-1	12:54	0:00
C. Stephenson	C	0	0	1	0	10:15	0:00
J. Hayden	C	0	0	0	-1	8:44	0:00
M. Stephens	C	1	1	0	-1	6:42	0:00
B. Montour	D	3	1	1	-1	23:59	0:00
V. Dunn	D	1	1	1	-3	20:54	2:00
R. Evans	D	0	2	0	0	20:53	0:00
A. Larsson	D	2	1	1	-2	18:27	0:00
J. Oleksiak	D	0	0	0	0	18:09	0:00
J. Mahura	D	3	1	0	0	15:47	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Daccord	31	30	2	.968	59:06	Loss
P. Grubauer	0	0	0	–	0:00

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	WSH 2.9, SEA 2.8	WSH 3, SEA 0
Total goals	5.7	3
Shots on goal	WSH 25.7, SEA 27.0	WSH 32, SEA 22
Win chance	WSH 52%	WSH won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WSH A. Ovechkin	2.8	2	0.80	1	33%	1
SEA J. Schwartz	2.3	2	0.60	0	24%	0
SEA J. McCann	2.3	0	0.71	0	29%	0
SEA B. Montour	2.2	3	0.44	0	13%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.2	4	0.52	1	16%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.1	1	0.63	0	27%	0
SEA O. Bjorkstrand	2.0	3	0.60	0	22%	0
WSH J. Carlson	1.9	0	0.56	0	12%	0
SEA M. Beniers	1.9	1	0.59	0	23%	0
SEA V. Dunn	1.8	1	0.56	0	13%	0
WSH A. Protas	1.7	2	0.63	1	19%	1
SEA K. Kakko	1.7	1	0.52	0	20%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.7	5	0.49	0	20%	0
SEA A. Burakovsky	1.6	0	0.45	0	16%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.6	3	0.67	0	21%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.6	0	0.77	0	23%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.5	0	0.38	0	17%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.4	2	0.23	0	7%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	1.3	1	0.26	0	12%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.2	0	0.29	0	6%	0
WSH A. Mangiapane	1.2	2	0.42	0	18%	0
SEA B. Tanev	1.2	3	0.29	0	14%	0
SEA C. Stephenson	1.2	0	0.68	0	20%	0
WSH N. Dowd	1.1	0	0.40	0	18%	0
WSH L. Eller	1.0	2	0.26	0	11%	0
SEA R. Evans	1.0	0	0.32	0	7%	0
SEA S. Wright	1.0	2	0.46	0	17%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	1.0	0	0.22	1	3%	0
SEA J. Mahura	0.9	3	0.17	0	3%	0
WSH R. Sandin	0.9	1	0.34	0	7%	0
WSH T. Raddysh	0.9	1	0.23	0	9%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	0.9	4	0.23	0	6%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	0.9	0	0.18	0	5%	0
SEA J. Hayden	0.8	0	0.10	0	7%	0
WSH E. Frank	0.7	4	0.33	1	12%	1
SEA M. Stephens	0.7	1	0.16	0	6%	0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.