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Game Recap
WSH7
SJS1
WSH beat SJS 7-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.15 expected goals to 2.03. R. Leonard led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). R. Leonard had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. C. Lindgren stopped 23 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| SJS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
- 1st 8:25WSHA. Ovechkin0.57 xG
- 1st 10:05WSHS. Milano0.06 xG
- 1st 13:35WSHR. Leonard0.41 xG
- 1st 17:07WSHB. DuhaimeSH0.06 xG
- 2nd 2:41WSHA. OvechkinPP0.27 xG
- 2nd 19:34WSHD. Strome0.10 xG
- 3rd 1:03WSHR. Leonard0.05 xG
- 3rd 12:58SJSP. RegendaPP0.17 xG
Team Stats
WSHSJS
31Shots on goal24
3.15Expected goals2.03
45Shot attempts56
255v5 shots on goal14
1/2Power play1/5
10Hits19
16Blocked shots6
8Penalty minutes2
15Giveaways12
6Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
WSH 3.15 xGSJS 2.03 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
WSH Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Leonard | RW | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 13:39 | 2:42 |
| A. Ovechkin | LW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:33 | 3:42 |
| B. Duhaime | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 14:13 | 0:00 |
| D. Strome | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:22 | 2:43 |
| A. Protas | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0:00 |
| S. Milano | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0:00 |
| A. Beauvillier | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:14 | 0:57 |
| C. McMichael | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | 0:59 |
| T. Wilson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 2:45 |
| N. Dowd | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0:00 |
| E. Frank | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:42 | 1:00 |
| H. Lapierre | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:43 | 0:00 |
| M. Roy | D | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 0 | 21:57 | 0:00 |
| T. van Riemsdyk | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 17:38 | 0:00 |
| J. Chychrun | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 20:06 | 2:42 |
| D. Chisholm | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:01 | 0:00 |
| M. Fehérváry | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0:00 |
| R. Sandin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:50 | 1:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lindgren | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 60:00 | Win |
| L. Thompson | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gaudette | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:41 | 4:52 |
| P. Regenda | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 12:54 | 4:56 |
| A. Wennberg | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 19:17 | 4:22 |
| P. Kurashev | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:14 | 4:50 |
| W. Eklund | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:28 | 4:24 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:45 | 0:07 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 17:24 | 4:21 |
| C. Graf | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 0:01 |
| M. Celebrini | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:56 | 4:25 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:12 | 4:59 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 10:33 | 0:01 |
| R. Reaves | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 7:06 | 0:00 |
| D. Orlov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 21:44 | 4:57 |
| J. Klingberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:35 | 3:25 |
| M. Ferraro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0:00 |
| T. Liljegren | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:40 | 0:57 |
| S. Dickinson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0:09 |
| V. Iorio | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:08 | 0:04 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 12 | 8 | 4 | .667 | 17:07 | Loss |
| A. Nedeljkovic | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 42:40 |
Lines at 5-on-5
WSH
Line 1A. Ovechkin12:39A. Beauvillier13:28D. Strome13:25
Line 2B. Duhaime12:18H. Lapierre11:43S. Milano11:12
Line 3E. Frank11:42R. Leonard10:57N. Dowd10:45
Line 4C. McMichael10:24A. Protas12:59T. Wilson8:30
Pair 1T. Riemsdyk14:18D. Chisholm17:47
Pair 2M. Roy16:12J. Chychrun16:46
Pair 3M. Fehérváry13:48R. Sandin14:42
SJS
Line 1A. Wennberg12:34W. Eklund13:57A. Gaudette10:36
Line 2T. Dellandrea15:23C. Graf15:51P. Kurashev14:24
Line 3W. Smith13:03M. Celebrini11:18T. Toffoli9:13
Line 4R. Reaves6:57B. Goodrow8:53P. Regenda7:58
Pair 1J. Klingberg17:10M. Ferraro17:30
Pair 2S. Dickinson15:53V. Iorio14:35
Pair 3D. Orlov14:03T. Liljegren14:17
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WSH 3.4, SJS 2.7 | WSH 7, SJS 1 |
| Total goals | 6.0 | 8 |
| Shots on goal | WSH 29.6, SJS 25.2 | WSH 31, SJS 24 |
| Win chance | WSH 61% | WSH won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH A. Ovechkin | 3.1 | 4 | 0.97 | 2 | 39% | 2 |
| WSH J. Chychrun | 2.9 | 4 | 0.72 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 2.9 | 2 | 1.00 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| WSH A. Beauvillier | 2.4 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.3 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| WSH C. McMichael | 2.3 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| WSH R. Leonard | 2.2 | 6 | 0.49 | 4 | 17% | 2 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.2 | 2 | 0.60 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| WSH T. Wilson | 2.2 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 | 32% | 0 |
| WSH A. Protas | 2.2 | 1 | 0.74 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| SJS W. Eklund | 2.1 | 3 | 0.72 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| WSH D. Strome | 1.9 | 1 | 0.92 | 1 | 27% | 1 |
| SJS J. Klingberg | 1.6 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.5 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS A. Gaudette | 1.5 | 1 | 0.39 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| WSH M. Roy | 1.3 | 2 | 0.33 | 3 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS P. Regenda | 1.3 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.2 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SJS P. Kurashev | 1.2 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 1.2 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WSH N. Dowd | 1.1 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SJS T. Liljegren | 1.1 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WSH E. Frank | 1.1 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.1 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WSH R. Sandin | 1.1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS M. Ferraro | 1.0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WSH M. Fehérváry | 1.0 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WSH D. Chisholm | 0.9 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| WSH B. Duhaime | 0.9 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 11% | 1 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.8 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS V. Iorio | 0.8 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH T. Riemsdyk | 0.8 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 3% | 0 |
| WSH S. Milano | 0.8 | 1 | 0.27 | 1 | 12% | 1 |
| WSH H. Lapierre | 0.7 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SJS R. Reaves | 0.6 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 25 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.