Game Recap: ANA 6, EDM 4, April 22, 2026

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Game Recap

ANA6

FinalWed, Apr 22, 2026PlayoffsEvery game that night

EDM4

ANA beat EDM 6-4, with the chances close: 2.53 expected goals to 2.90. EDM outshot ANA 37 to 28. C. Gauthier led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). Z. Hyman had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.7. L. Dostal stopped 33 of 37.

Team Stats

ANAEDM

28Shots on goal37

2.53Expected goals2.90

53Shot attempts60

195v5 shots on goal28

2/3Power play0/4

32Hits39

13Blocked shots13

8Penalty minutes6

15Giveaways19

5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 2.53 xGEDM 2.90 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA25 on goal, 5 scored

EDM37 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Gauthier	LW	2	1	3	4	1	0	+1	4	17:55	2:29
A. Killorn	LW	1	2	3	4	0	0	0	0	16:14	2:19
R. Poehling	C	2	0	2	2	1	0	+1	2	14:10	0:00
T. Terry	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	16:57	2:17
M. Granlund	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	18:30	2:21
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	+2	0	17:53	2:15
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	1	2	2	-1	0	16:11	0:00
B. Sennecke	RW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-2	0	13:01	2:23
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	12:57	0:00
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	2	5	1	-1	0	11:58	2:24
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	10:49	2:12
J. LaCombe	D	0	3	3	2	0	2	+1	0	23:31	2:59
J. Trouba	D	1	0	1	2	3	2	+1	0	25:51	0:00
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	24:00	1:41
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	2	23:30	0:00
T. Hinds	D	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	10:43	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	10:38	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	0	7:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	37	33	4	.892	59:20	Win
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Draisaitl	C	1	1	2	3	1	0	-1	0	24:56	6:55
Z. Hyman	LW	1	0	1	6	5	1	-3	0	21:06	6:49
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	-1	0	18:24	6:48
V. Podkolzin	RW	0	1	1	3	5	1	+1	0	16:14	0:49
K. Kapanen	RW	0	1	1	2	3	1	+2	0	15:14	0:00
M. Savoie	C	0	1	1	4	1	1	0	2	13:38	0:57
J. Roslovic	C	0	1	1	2	2	0	+1	2	11:51	1:02
J. Samanski	C	1	0	1	2	1	0	+1	0	11:11	0:00
C. McDavid	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	-2	0	24:07	6:53
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	9:15	0:06
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	8:47	0:00
C. Lazar	C	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	8:04	0:00
M. Ekholm	D	0	1	1	1	0	3	-1	0	20:16	1:01
C. Murphy	D	1	0	1	3	1	1	+1	0	19:54	0:03
J. Walman	D	0	1	1	3	1	2	0	0	16:02	0:50
E. Bouchard	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	0	26:16	6:57
D. Nurse	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	+2	2	20:05	0:00
T. Emberson	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	+1	0	10:35	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Ingram	27	22	5	.815	59:15	Loss
T. Jarry	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1T. Terry14:22C. Gauthier15:26L. Carlsson14:37

Line 2J. Viel12:36T. Washe12:02

Line 3A. Killorn10:19M. Granlund11:06B. Sennecke10:38

Line 4R. Poehling9:52C. Kreider8:06M. McTavish9:03

Pair 1J. LaCombe19:48J. Trouba19:12

Pair 2J. Carlson18:41P. Mintyukov18:46

Pair 3D. Helleson7:49T. Hinds8:05

EDM

Line 1K. Kapanen13:57V. Podkolzin15:01L. Draisaitl16:06

Line 2Z. Hyman12:58C. McDavid14:39M. Savoie11:03

Line 3C. Lazar7:57T. Frederic8:58J. Samanski8:51

Line 4R. Nugent-Hopkins9:10J. Roslovic10:49C. Dach8:47

Pair 1C. Murphy17:50D. Nurse18:30

Pair 2M. Ekholm16:02E. Bouchard16:01

Pair 3J. Walman13:54T. Emberson9:47

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 3.2, EDM 3.7	ANA 6, EDM 4
Total goals	6.8	10
Shots on goal	ANA 28.5, EDM 30.7	ANA 28, EDM 37
Win chance	EDM 58%	ANA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
EDM C. McDavid	3.7	4	1.80	0	42%	0
ANA C. Gauthier	2.9	4	0.68	3	29%	2
EDM E. Bouchard	2.8	2	1.29	0	22%	0
EDM Z. Hyman	2.7	6	0.93	1	40%	1
ANA L. Carlsson	2.6	4	0.76	0	27%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.5	0	0.78	1	26%	0
EDM L. Draisaitl	2.4	3	1.32	2	40%	1
ANA B. Sennecke	2.3	0	0.60	0	20%	0
EDM M. Savoie	2.1	4	0.60	1	23%	0
EDM D. Nurse	2.1	1	0.41	0	10%	0
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	2.0	0	0.89	1	27%	0
EDM V. Podkolzin	2.0	3	0.61	1	22%	0
EDM J. Roslovic	2.0	2	0.61	1	24%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.9	0	0.70	0	20%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.9	4	0.52	3	22%	1
ANA J. Carlson	1.8	0	0.66	0	12%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.7	2	0.49	0	19%	0
EDM K. Kapanen	1.7	2	0.46	1	18%	0
ANA C. Kreider	1.7	1	0.60	0	29%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.7	2	0.33	1	7%	1
EDM J. Walman	1.6	3	0.40	1	10%	0
EDM M. Ekholm	1.6	1	0.57	1	11%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.6	2	0.61	3	10%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.3	2	0.47	2	16%	2
EDM T. Frederic	1.2	0	0.25	0	14%	0
ANA J. Viel	1.2	2	0.20	0	9%	0
EDM C. Murphy	1.1	3	0.29	1	7%	1
ANA P. Mintyukov	0.9	1	0.28	0	7%	0
ANA T. Hinds	0.9	0	0.11	0	3%	0
EDM C. Dach	0.9	1	0.24	0	9%	0
ANA T. Washe	0.9	1	0.16	0	9%	0
EDM C. Lazar	0.7	0	0.18	0	8%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.7	2	0.13	0	4%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.6	0	0.19	0	3%	0
EDM J. Samanski	0.6	2	0.26	1	13%	1
ANA D. Helleson	0.6	1	0.20	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.