Game Recap: ANA 1, LAK 6, December 27, 2025

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Game Recap

ANA1

FinalSat, Dec 27, 2025Every game that night

LAK6

LAK beat ANA 6-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.28 expected goals to 2.22. A. Laferriere scored three for LAK. J. Edmundson had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. A. Forsberg stopped 25 of 26.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	0	1	0	1
LAK	4	0	2	6

1st 3:03LAKD. Doughty0.08 xG
1st 3:56LAKT. Moore0.11 xG
1st 10:21LAKA. Laferriere0.28 xG
1st 19:02LAKQ. ByfieldPP0.07 xG
2nd 10:02ANAM. McTavishPP0.36 xG
3rd 4:24LAKA. Laferriere0.21 xG
3rd 13:15LAKA. Laferriere0.05 xG

Team Stats

ANALAK

26Shots on goal30

2.22Expected goals3.28

60Shot attempts69

235v5 shots on goal26

1/2Power play1/4

16Hits12

13Blocked shots16

12Penalty minutes8

17Giveaways17

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 2.22 xGLAK 3.28 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA26 on goal, 1 scored

LAK30 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. McTavish	C	1	0	1	2	2	0	-1	0	18:08	1:05
B. Sennecke	RW	0	1	1	3	1	0	-2	0	17:51	1:07
L. Carlsson	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	-2	0	14:46	1:02
M. Granlund	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	-2	2	17:31	1:24
C. Gauthier	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-3	0	16:21	0:19
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-2	0	15:24	0:17
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	15:13	0:00
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	13:51	0:00
T. Terry	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-3	0	13:00	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	10:31	0:00
R. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	9:47	0:00
R. Johnston	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:25	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	0	22:05	1:23
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	-1	0	21:15	0:22
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	21:04	0:01
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	-2	2	20:42	0:00
R. Gudas	D	0	0	0	0	0	6	-2	0	20:22	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	13:46	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	30	24	6	.800	60:00	Loss
P. Mrazek	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Kopitar	C	0	3	3	1	0	0	+3	0	17:38	2:32
A. Laferriere	RW	3	0	3	5	2	1	+4	0	16:24	2:31
Q. Byfield	RW	1	1	2	3	1	0	+2	0	18:46	2:49
A. Kempe	RW	0	1	1	2	1	1	+3	2	16:02	2:34
C. Perry	RW	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	14:56	2:35
A. Kuzmenko	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	14:52	2:41
T. Moore	LW	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	0	14:27	0:07
K. Fiala	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:51	2:31
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	14:41	2:34
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	14:41	0:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	14:41	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6:55	0:11
B. Dumoulin	D	0	2	2	0	0	3	+3	0	20:57	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	2	2	1	1	3	+1	2	18:47	2:52
D. Doughty	D	1	0	1	2	1	1	+1	2	20:18	2:28
C. Ceci	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	+2	0	17:56	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	+2	0	19:01	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	4	1	1	+1	0	18:15	0:15

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Forsberg	26	25	1	.962	59:50	Win
P. Copley	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1C. Gauthier15:30B. Sennecke15:06M. McTavish16:19

Line 2A. Killorn12:15R. Poehling10:38R. Johnston9:25

Line 3R. Strome9:37F. Vatrano9:33L. Carlsson11:31

Line 4C. Kreider13:05T. Terry10:46M. Granlund14:24

Pair 1R. Gudas18:14O. Zellweger19:03

Pair 2J. LaCombe15:28J. Trouba15:13

Pair 3D. Helleson11:52I. Moore19:21

LAK

Line 1A. Kopitar14:56A. Kempe13:18A. Laferriere13:43

Line 2K. Fiala11:22A. Kuzmenko12:11A. Turcotte13:01

Line 3W. Foegele13:46T. Moore12:23Q. Byfield13:29

Line 4C. Perry12:11J. Armia11:01S. Helenius6:44

Pair 1B. Dumoulin19:02C. Ceci16:47

Pair 2D. Doughty16:05M. Anderson17:23

Pair 3J. Edmundson15:42B. Clarke14:16

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 2.7, LAK 3.1	ANA 1, LAK 6
Total goals	5.8	7
Shots on goal	ANA 27.8, LAK 29.6	ANA 26, LAK 30
Win chance	LAK 56%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK K. Fiala	3.1	1	0.91	0	34%	0
ANA C. Gauthier	3.0	3	0.67	0	25%	0
LAK A. Kempe	3.0	2	1.02	1	37%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.6	5	0.55	3	21%	3
ANA T. Terry	2.3	0	0.71	0	24%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.3	3	0.72	2	23%	1
ANA C. Kreider	2.2	2	0.62	0	32%	0
LAK B. Clarke	2.1	1	0.53	2	11%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.0	4	0.45	0	21%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.0	3	0.71	1	24%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.0	3	0.51	1	21%	1
ANA M. McTavish	1.9	2	0.51	1	19%	1
ANA J. LaCombe	1.9	0	0.50	0	11%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	1.8	3	0.60	1	19%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.8	3	0.63	0	17%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.8	1	0.31	0	16%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.7	2	0.72	1	15%	1
LAK C. Perry	1.7	1	0.47	1	22%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.6	2	0.27	0	6%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.6	1	0.88	3	26%	0
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.5	0	0.63	1	25%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.4	2	0.24	0	6%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.4	0	0.43	0	18%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.3	1	0.32	0	15%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.3	4	0.28	0	5%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	1.2	1	0.29	0	11%	0
ANA R. Strome	1.1	1	0.31	0	10%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.1	2	0.34	0	12%	0
ANA R. Gudas	1.1	0	0.19	0	3%	0
ANA I. Moore	1.1	1	0.19	0	5%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	1.0	0	0.26	2	4%	0
LAK M. Anderson	1.0	1	0.29	0	6%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.9	1	0.23	1	4%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.9	0	0.20	0	5%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.6	0	0.17	0	5%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.3	0	0.10	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.