Game Recap: ANA 2, MIN 3, April 14, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

ANA2

FinalTue, Apr 14, 2026Every game that night

MIN3

MIN beat ANA 3-2 despite fewer good chances: 3.29 expected goals to 4.99. ANA outshot MIN 37 to 20. M. McTavish led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). L. Carlsson had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. J. Wallstedt stopped 35 of 37.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	1	0	1	2
MIN	1	1	1	3

1st 10:27ANAM. McTavishPP0.07 xG
1st 16:42MIND. Yurov0.06 xG
2nd 11:24MINH. Haight0.15 xG
3rd 13:03MINR. Fabbri0.68 xG
3rd 19:14ANAM. McTavish0.09 xG

Team Stats

ANAMIN

37Shots on goal20

4.99Expected goals3.29

81Shot attempts41

235v5 shots on goal19

1/3Power play0/1

16Hits25

7Blocked shots16

2Penalty minutes8

27Giveaways10

4Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 4.99 xGMIN 3.29 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA37 on goal, 2 scored

MIN20 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. McTavish	C	2	0	2	5	1	0	0	0	17:36	3:10
M. Granlund	C	0	1	1	3	1	0	+1	0	20:53	1:45
C. Gauthier	LW	0	1	1	4	1	0	-1	0	18:14	3:15
R. Poehling	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	-2	0	14:48	3:08
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	6	0	0	+1	0	21:00	1:44
A. Killorn	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	20:24	2:46
B. Sennecke	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	2	18:33	1:45
T. Terry	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	17:54	1:42
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	11:16	0:00
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	-2	0	9:48	0:00
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	8:31	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	3	0	1	-1	0	24:14	3:24
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	21:43	1:31
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	19:22	0:00
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	17:44	0:00
T. Hinds	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	15:06	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	14:34	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	7:27	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	20	17	3	.850	56:53	Loss
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Yurov	RW	1	0	1	4	4	0	+1	0	16:54	1:14
V. Tarasenko	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	16:17	1:11
N. Foligno	LW	0	1	1	0	3	0	+1	0	15:48	0:46
M. Johansson	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	0	13:34	1:14
B. Jones	C	0	1	1	0	2	0	+1	0	13:23	0:00
H. Haight	C	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	2	12:57	0:45
R. Fabbri	C	1	0	1	4	2	0	+1	0	12:08	0:00
N. Aube-Kubel	RW	0	1	1	1	2	1	+1	0	11:58	0:00
B. Brink	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	17:03	1:15
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:49	0:49
M. McCarron	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	14:23	0:46
N. Sturm	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	13:56	0:00
D. Hunt	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-1	0	21:01	0:35
V. Gustafsson-Nyberg	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	+2	0	20:38	0:00
M. Kiersted	D	0	0	0	0	0	5	+2	0	20:19	0:00
J. Petry	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	20:06	0:00
J. Middleton	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	+1	2	18:43	0:00
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	18:08	1:25

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	37	35	2	.946	60:00	Win
F. Gustavsson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1M. Granlund15:52B. Sennecke15:12A. Killorn16:19

Line 2T. Terry13:47L. Carlsson15:36J. Viel10:36

Line 3C. Gauthier12:12R. Poehling9:37M. McTavish11:47

Line 4F. Vatrano8:31T. Washe8:52

Pair 1J. LaCombe18:58J. Trouba16:52

Pair 2J. Carlson16:25P. Mintyukov14:59

Pair 3D. Helleson14:34T. Hinds14:19

MIN

Line 1D. Yurov14:46B. Brink14:36V. Tarasenko13:45

Line 2M. McCarron12:37Y. Trenin12:14N. Sturm10:35

Line 3N. Foligno12:37H. Haight11:37M. Johansson11:39

Line 4R. Fabbri11:13N. Aube-Kubel10:10B. Jones9:22

Pair 1J. Petry16:45J. Middleton17:09

Pair 2D. Hunt17:30J. Brodin15:31

Pair 3V. Gustafsson-Nyberg15:28M. Kiersted14:21

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownJackson LaCombe ANA Plays near home (born in Eden Prairie)1 A, 3 SOG
HometownRyan Poehling ANA Plays near home (born in Lakeville)1 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 3.2, MIN 3.4	ANA 2, MIN 3
Total goals	6.7	5
Shots on goal	ANA 30.5, MIN 29.9	ANA 37, MIN 20
Win chance	MIN 54%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
ANA C. Gauthier	2.7	4	0.63	1	27%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.5	2	0.79	0	26%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.5	2	0.69	0	23%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.4	6	0.77	0	27%	0
ANA J. Carlson	2.3	1	0.72	0	14%	0
ANA J. Trouba	2.1	2	0.35	0	8%	0
ANA M. Granlund	2.0	3	0.73	1	22%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	2.0	0	0.63	1	24%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.8	2	0.47	0	21%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	3	0.58	1	10%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.6	5	0.43	2	17%	2
ANA F. Vatrano	1.5	1	0.31	0	16%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.4	3	0.56	1	17%	0
MIN H. Haight	1.4	2	0.25	1	11%	1
ANA R. Poehling	1.3	1	0.45	1	16%	0
MIN B. Brink	1.3	2	0.49	0	18%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.3	0	0.32	0	13%	0
MIN M. McCarron	1.3	2	0.27	0	12%	0
ANA J. Viel	1.3	0	0.19	0	9%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.2	1	0.32	0	8%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.2	1	0.30	0	6%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.1	4	0.42	1	17%	1
MIN N. Foligno	1.1	0	0.35	1	13%	0
MIN R. Fabbri	1.0	4	0.28	1	14%	1
ANA T. Washe	1.0	1	0.18	0	10%	0
MIN B. Jones	1.0	0	0.08	1	6%	0
MIN J. Middleton	0.9	0	0.25	0	6%	0
MIN N. Aube-Kubel	0.9	1	0.22	1	10%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.9	1	0.15	0	4%	0
MIN M. Kiersted	0.9	0	0.28	0	6%	0
MIN N. Sturm	0.8	0	0.22	0	10%	0
MIN D. Hunt	0.8	0	0.23	0	3%	0
MIN J. Petry	0.8	1	0.20	0	3%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	0	0.21	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.