Game Recap: ANA 2, PHI 5, January 6, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

ANA2

FinalTue, Jan 6, 2026Every game that night

PHI5

PHI beat ANA 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.86 expected goals to 1.98. PHI outshot ANA 39 to 18. T. Zegras led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. York had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. D. Vladar stopped 16 of 18.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	1	0	1	2
PHI	2	2	1	5

1st 4:15ANAC. GauthierPP0.09 xG
1st 10:22PHIT. Zegras0.04 xG
1st 14:23PHIT. ZegrasPP0.06 xG
2nd 1:15PHIC. York0.03 xG
2nd 14:40PHIT. Sanheim0.05 xG
3rd 1:25ANAA. KillornPP0.13 xG
3rd 18:46PHIN. GrebenkinEN0.76 xG

Team Stats

ANAPHI

18Shots on goal39

1.98Expected goals4.86

57Shot attempts67

125v5 shots on goal16

2/3Power play1/8

19Hits22

15Blocked shots23

37Penalty minutes26

15Giveaways18

2Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 1.98 xGPHI 4.86 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA17 on goal, 2 scored

PHI38 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Terry	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	-2	2	16:15	1:55
A. Killorn	LW	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	15:02	2:04
C. Gauthier	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	-2	0	14:33	1:56
M. Granlund	C	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	22:01	2:48
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	2	19:40	1:59
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	18:02	2:47
B. Sennecke	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-3	2	17:33	2:52
R. Poehling	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	16:36	0:09
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-3	0	15:25	2:45
J. Harkins	C	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	5	5:44	0:00
R. Johnston	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	15	3:36	0:07
J. LaCombe	D	0	2	2	1	2	1	-2	0	19:15	1:55
P. Mintyukov	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	23:26	2:56
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-2	2	19:51	0:10
R. Gudas	D	0	0	0	1	5	1	-1	7	17:29	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:31	0:02
D. Helleson	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	13:57	0:00
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	8:10	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	38	34	4	.895	59:20	Loss
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

PHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Zegras	C	2	0	2	3	0	0	+1	2	22:39	10:29
N. Cates	LW	0	2	2	2	0	0	+3	17	13:42	4:42
N. Grebenkin	RW	1	1	2	3	2	0	+2	0	11:49	2:38
C. Dvorak	C	0	1	1	3	1	0	+1	0	23:39	10:05
T. Konecny	RW	0	1	1	5	3	0	+2	0	23:30	10:24
S. Couturier	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	18:49	7:43
O. Tippett	RW	0	0	0	4	3	1	+1	0	20:12	7:42
D. Barkey	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:58	7:11
C. Grundstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	+1	0	11:32	0:00
R. Abols	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:07	0:00
G. Hathaway	RW	0	0	0	3	6	3	+1	5	9:22	0:00
B. Brink	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:26	0:00
C. York	D	1	1	2	5	0	5	+3	0	25:35	8:25
T. Sanheim	D	1	0	1	2	0	1	+3	0	24:38	7:57
R. Ristolainen	D	0	0	0	4	1	6	+1	0	24:05	9:06
N. Seeler	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	17:41	0:14
E. Andrae	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	+1	0	15:35	2:29
J. Drysdale	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5:56	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Vladar	18	16	2	.889	59:52	Win
S. Ersson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1M. McTavish12:17B. Sennecke13:26C. Gauthier11:15

Line 2T. Terry11:06L. Carlsson12:09C. Kreider11:29

Line 3A. Killorn6:59R. Poehling8:49R. Johnston3:29

Line 4M. Granlund9:48J. Harkins5:37

Pair 1O. Zellweger12:45J. Trouba11:43

Pair 2J. LaCombe12:32I. Moore8:03

Pair 3R. Gudas10:47P. Mintyukov11:54

PHI

Line 1C. Dvorak11:12T. Konecny11:09T. Zegras11:29

Line 2S. Couturier9:52O. Tippett12:11D. Barkey7:36

Line 3R. Abols9:21C. Grundstrom9:56G. Hathaway8:10

Line 4N. Cates8:12N. Grebenkin9:03

Pair 1T. Sanheim14:28C. York14:20

Pair 2N. Seeler14:23R. Ristolainen11:40

Pair 3E. Andrae13:06J. Drysdale5:56

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJamie Drysdale PHI Faces ANA, his team until Jan 20241 SOG
Old teamRyan Poehling ANA Faces PHI, his team until Apr 20251 SOG
Old teamTrevor Zegras PHI Faces ANA, his team until Apr 20252 G, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 2.9, PHI 3.2	ANA 2, PHI 5
Total goals	6.1	7
Shots on goal	ANA 26.5, PHI 28.3	ANA 18, PHI 39
Win chance	PHI 55%	PHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
ANA C. Gauthier	2.9	3	0.68	1	26%	1
PHI O. Tippett	2.5	4	0.70	0	28%	0
PHI T. Konecny	2.4	5	1.00	1	31%	0
PHI T. Zegras	2.2	3	0.95	2	29%	2
ANA M. McTavish	2.1	1	0.62	0	23%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.0	1	0.69	2	24%	0
ANA B. Sennecke	2.0	2	0.70	0	24%	0
PHI C. Grundstrom	2.0	1	0.38	0	20%	0
PHI C. Dvorak	1.9	3	0.68	1	22%	0
PHI S. Couturier	1.8	1	0.60	1	17%	0
PHI R. Ristolainen	1.8	4	0.35	0	5%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	1.8	1	0.69	0	24%	0
ANA C. Kreider	1.8	2	0.55	0	30%	0
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	1	0.53	2	12%	0
ANA M. Granlund	1.7	0	0.68	0	19%	0
ANA J. Trouba	1.7	2	0.33	0	8%	0
PHI B. Brink	1.6	0	0.58	0	20%	0
PHI N. Cates	1.5	2	0.55	2	19%	0
PHI T. Sanheim	1.5	2	0.49	1	11%	1
PHI D. Barkey	1.4	1	0.48	0	17%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.4	0	0.28	0	8%	0
PHI N. Seeler	1.4	0	0.27	0	4%	0
PHI C. York	1.3	5	0.47	2	9%	1
PHI R. Abols	1.3	1	0.35	0	12%	0
PHI J. Drysdale	1.3	1	0.49	0	10%	0
ANA A. Killorn	1.2	2	0.32	1	15%	1
ANA I. Moore	1.2	0	0.26	0	6%	0
ANA P. Mintyukov	1.2	1	0.36	0	9%	0
PHI E. Andrae	1.1	0	0.30	0	4%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.0	1	0.37	0	13%	0
ANA R. Gudas	1.0	1	0.21	0	4%	0
PHI G. Hathaway	0.8	3	0.22	0	11%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	0	0.21	0	6%	0
PHI N. Grebenkin	0.7	3	0.32	2	11%	1
ANA J. Harkins	0.7	0	0.12	0	7%	0
ANA R. Johnston	0.5	0	0.18	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.