Game Recap: ANA 3, SJS 4, April 1, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

ANA3

FinalWed, Apr 1, 2026Every game that night

SJS4

SJS beat ANA 4-3, with the chances close: 2.66 expected goals to 2.57. ANA outshot SJS 31 to 21. M. Celebrini led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). T. Terry had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. Y. Askarov stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	1	1	1	3
SJS	1	0	3	4

1st 4:37SJSW. SmithPP0.16 xG
1st 17:47ANAR. Poehling0.12 xG
2nd 14:59ANAA. Killorn0.08 xG
3rd 0:27SJSM. Celebrini0.18 xG
3rd 4:04ANAT. Terry0.09 xG
3rd 18:21SJSM. Celebrini0.05 xG
3rd 19:29SJSA. Wennberg0.10 xG

Team Stats

ANASJS

31Shots on goal21

2.57Expected goals2.66

52Shot attempts45

245v5 shots on goal16

0/3Power play1/2

20Hits25

15Blocked shots9

11Penalty minutes13

9Giveaways16

5Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 2.57 xGSJS 2.66 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA30 on goal, 3 scored

SJS21 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Terry	RW	1	0	1	6	0	0	+2	0	19:21	4:05
A. Killorn	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	-1	2	17:29	1:33
R. Poehling	C	1	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	16:37	0:08
L. Carlsson	C	0	0	0	5	0	2	+1	0	19:48	4:04
M. Granlund	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	19:30	4:04
C. Kreider	LW	0	0	0	4	0	0	+1	0	18:22	4:06
T. Washe	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	2	16:35	0:01
B. Sennecke	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	13:56	1:31
J. Viel	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	13:24	0:05
F. Vatrano	RW	0	0	0	1	2	1	-1	2	10:31	1:21
M. McTavish	C	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	8:44	1:28
N. Gaucher	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	7:08	0:00
D. Helleson	D	0	2	2	0	2	0	+1	0	11:54	0:00
J. LaCombe	D	0	1	1	1	2	2	+1	0	23:23	2:18
J. Carlson	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	-1	0	26:13	3:22
J. Trouba	D	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	21:32	0:14
I. Moore	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	19:24	0:00
O. Zellweger	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	11:44	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Dostal	21	17	4	.810	59:45	Loss
V. Husso	0	0	0	–	0:00

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Celebrini	C	2	2	4	4	0	1	+3	0	24:03	1:54
W. Smith	C	1	2	3	2	0	0	+2	0	18:31	1:54
A. Wennberg	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	20:48	1:54
C. Graf	RW	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	19:50	0:00
W. Eklund	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	0	15:44	0:26
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	3	4	0	-2	0	15:04	0:30
T. Toffoli	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	11:28	1:39
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	-1	0	11:26	0:00
M. Misa	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	11:18	0:26
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	5	9:37	0:00
T. Dellandrea	C	0	0	0	3	6	1	-1	2	9:33	0:11
A. Gaudette	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	8:45	0:26
S. Dickinson	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	+1	0	20:36	0:30
D. Orlov	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	-1	2	18:10	1:50
N. Leddy	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	20:48	0:00
M. Ferraro	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	20:48	0:00
V. Desharnais	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	2	19:16	0:00
S. Mukhamadullin	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	17:00	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Y. Askarov	31	28	3	.903	59:15	Win
A. Nedeljkovic	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1L. Carlsson14:58T. Terry14:24C. Kreider13:07

Line 2A. Killorn14:09M. Granlund13:23T. Washe15:26

Line 3J. Viel12:34R. Poehling13:22B. Sennecke11:57

Line 4N. Gaucher7:08F. Vatrano8:25M. McTavish7:16

Pair 1J. Trouba17:53J. LaCombe19:49

Pair 2J. Carlson18:45I. Moore17:55

Pair 3D. Helleson11:31O. Zellweger11:18

SJS

Line 1M. Celebrini19:18C. Graf17:42W. Smith14:35

Line 2A. Wennberg14:58W. Eklund13:39K. Sherwood14:18

Line 3T. Toffoli9:04M. Misa10:42T. Dellandrea8:26

Line 4B. Goodrow8:21A. Gaudette8:19Z. Ostapchuk6:49

Pair 1N. Leddy18:27S. Dickinson18:39

Pair 2M. Ferraro16:34S. Mukhamadullin14:32

Pair 3V. Desharnais14:57D. Orlov14:00

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJacob Trouba SJS First game against ANA since he left (his team until May 2026)2 SOG
Old teamMikael Granlund ANA Faces SJS, his team until Jan 20251 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	ANA 3.4, SJS 3.2	ANA 3, SJS 4
Total goals	6.7	7
Shots on goal	ANA 29.5, SJS 28.5	ANA 31, SJS 21
Win chance	ANA 53%	SJS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
SJS M. Celebrini	3.7	4	1.33	4	37%	2
SJS W. Smith	2.6	2	0.95	3	30%	1
SJS K. Sherwood	2.4	3	0.54	0	25%	0
ANA L. Carlsson	2.4	5	0.91	0	29%	0
ANA T. Terry	2.4	6	0.91	1	28%	1
ANA B. Sennecke	2.2	2	0.69	0	22%	0
ANA J. Carlson	2.2	2	0.87	0	15%	0
ANA C. Kreider	2.2	4	0.81	0	37%	0
ANA M. Granlund	2.1	1	0.84	0	24%	0
SJS T. Toffoli	2.1	1	0.63	0	25%	0
SJS W. Eklund	2.1	2	0.67	0	19%	0
ANA J. Trouba	2.0	2	0.42	0	10%	0
ANA A. Killorn	2.0	2	0.56	1	24%	1
ANA J. LaCombe	1.7	1	0.68	1	13%	0
ANA M. McTavish	1.6	2	0.49	0	19%	0
ANA J. Viel	1.5	0	0.26	0	11%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.5	1	0.49	1	19%	0
SJS M. Misa	1.4	1	0.50	0	19%	0
ANA F. Vatrano	1.4	1	0.31	0	16%	0
ANA R. Poehling	1.4	2	0.53	1	18%	1
SJS D. Orlov	1.4	1	0.58	1	11%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	1.3	0	0.28	1	4%	0
ANA O. Zellweger	1.3	0	0.25	0	8%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.3	2	0.64	1	18%	1
SJS A. Gaudette	1.3	0	0.32	0	17%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.2	0	0.32	0	7%	0
ANA T. Washe	1.2	0	0.24	0	12%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	1.1	1	0.31	0	8%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	1.0	3	0.23	0	8%	0
ANA I. Moore	0.9	0	0.21	0	6%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.9	0	0.18	0	9%	0
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.8	0	0.12	0	7%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.8	0	0.18	0	2%	0
SJS N. Leddy	0.7	0	0.29	0	4%	0
ANA D. Helleson	0.7	0	0.22	2	6%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.