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Game Recap
ANA5
FinalTue, Nov 3, 2026Every game that night
VAN4

ANA beat VAN 5-4, with the chances close: 2.91 expected goals to 2.79. B. Sennecke led the way with 4 points (0 G, 4 A). L. Brossoit stopped 19 of 23.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ANA2215
VAN1124
  1. 1st 4:04ANAM. GranlundPP0.19 xG
  2. 1st 6:04VANL. OhgrenPP0.14 xG
  3. 1st 17:07ANAC. GauthierPP0.07 xG
  4. 2nd 2:58ANAL. CarlssonSH0.05 xG
  5. 2nd 8:17VANL. Karlsson0.09 xG
  6. 2nd 18:25ANAC. GauthierPP0.10 xG
  7. 3rd 4:11ANAC. Gauthier0.12 xG
  8. 3rd 5:30VANJ. DeBruskPP0.12 xG
  9. 3rd 9:34VANJ. DeBrusk0.11 xG

Team Stats

ANAVAN
22Shots on goal23
2.91Expected goals2.79
54Shot attempts53
165v5 shots on goal18
3/3Power play2/4
27Hits25
12Blocked shots13
43Penalty minutes41
15Giveaways15
1Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ANA 2.91 xGVAN 2.79 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdANA goal, 4:04VAN goal, 6:04ANA goal, 17:07ANA goal, 2:58VAN goal, 8:17ANA goal, 18:25ANA goal, 4:11VAN goal, 5:30VAN goal, 9:34

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ANA22 on goal, 5 scored
VAN22 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ANA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. SenneckeRW0442200021:172:46
M. GranlundC123120+1020:142:46
C. GauthierLW3036000018:312:46
L. CarlssonC101200+1020:032:46
A. KillornLW0001000017:570:00
T. WasheC0000410016:100:00
J. CaulfieldRW0001600012:550:00
N. MyatovicLW0000100010:340:00
J. MalottLW000210-1510:130:00
R. McQueenC000130-179:480:00
N. NesterenkoC000220-109:270:00
S. ColangeloRW0000100159:200:00
J. LaCombeD022013-1023:412:46
P. MintyukovD0112010023:070:00
T. LuneauD0112010018:020:00
D. HellesonD000023-1220:020:00
N. WarrenD000003+1717:100:00
T. MitchellD000020+1715:400:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
L. Brossoit23194.82659:31Win
L. Dostal000–0:00

VAN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
E. PetterssonC022003+1023:093:23
J. DeBruskLW2023110019:263:28
B. BoeserRW0113100021:293:29
L. OhgrenLW101131-1216:052:49
M. RossiC011100-1015:532:55
D. O'ConnorLW011200+1015:380:00
L. KarlssonC101140+1014:502:50
P. CotterLW01114001510:232:49
J. LekkerimäkiRW000200-2015:473:29
B. GallagherRW0000300011:300:00
M. SassonC0000000711:010:00
J. QuillanC00012001210:310:00
J. OleksiakD011221+2516:050:00
F. HronekD000101-1027:393:00
Z. BuiumD000201+1024:153:18
E. PetterssonD0001420021:350:00
G. BriseboisD000201-1013:450:00
V. ManciniD000012009:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Lankinen22175.77358:17Loss
L. Meriläinen000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

ANA

Line 1M. Granlund14:09B. Sennecke17:17C. Gauthier15:22
Line 2A. Killorn14:07J. Caulfield12:24L. Carlsson12:12
Line 3T. Washe13:05N. Myatovic10:34S. Colangelo8:57
Line 4N. Nesterenko8:46R. McQueen9:42J. Malott9:10
Pair 1D. Helleson16:25J. LaCombe15:48
Pair 2T. Mitchell14:55T. Luneau18:02
Pair 3P. Mintyukov19:00N. Warren13:45

VAN

Line 1E. Pettersson17:29B. Boeser15:11J. DeBrusk14:48
Line 2M. Rossi12:28L. Ohgren12:41J. Lekkerimäki11:08
Line 3D. O'Connor14:00L. Karlsson11:27J. Quillan9:36
Line 4B. Gallagher11:01M. Sasson9:11P. Cotter7:05
Pair 1F. Hronek22:40E. Pettersson19:23
Pair 2J. Oleksiak15:10Z. Buium19:21
Pair 3G. Brisebois13:22V. Mancini7:39

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Prop Results

7 of 18 overs hit (39%).

PlayerLineOverUnderSOGResult
ANA C. Gauthier3.5-144+1136Over
ANA B. Sennecke2.5-122+1002Under
VAN J. DeBrusk2.5+100-1203Over
ANA L. Carlsson2.5+122-1452Under
ANA A. Killorn1.5-110-1051Under
VAN B. Boeser1.5-155+1303Over
VAN B. Gallagher1.5+165-1800Under
VAN D. O'Connor1.5+105-1352Over
VAN F. Hronek1.5+107-1201Under
ANA J. Caulfield1.5+150-1901Under
ANA J. LaCombe1.5+100-1200Under
VAN J. Lekkerimäki1.5-127+1052Over
VAN L. Karlsson1.5-125+1001Under
ANA M. Granlund1.5-160+1351Under
VAN M. Rossi1.5+115-1651Under
ANA R. McQueen1.5+109-1401Under
ANA T. Luneau1.5+115-1352Over
VAN Z. Buium1.5+180–2Over

Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreANA 3.8, VAN 3.0ANA 5, VAN 4
Total goals6.89
Shots on goalANA 30.6, VAN 24.5ANA 22, VAN 23
Win chanceANA 61%ANA won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
ANA C. Gauthier4.061.09339%3
ANA B. Sennecke2.920.98435%0
ANA L. Carlsson2.621.05131%1
VAN J. DeBrusk2.630.69231%2
ANA M. Granlund2.110.96327%1
VAN B. Boeser2.030.73128%0
VAN E. Pettersson1.900.90227%0
VAN J. Lekkerimäki1.720.58020%0
ANA A. Killorn1.710.51020%0
VAN F. Hronek1.710.68010%0
ANA J. LaCombe1.600.93214%0
VAN L. Karlsson1.610.55120%1
VAN D. O'Connor1.520.37118%0
ANA S. Colangelo1.500.41017%0
VAN L. Ohgren1.410.40116%1
ANA J. Caulfield1.410.56021%0
ANA R. McQueen1.310.25012%0
VAN M. Rossi1.310.53118%0
VAN B. Gallagher1.200.31013%0
ANA N. Nesterenko1.220.32012%0
ANA T. Washe1.100.33014%0
ANA J. Malott1.120.27011%0
VAN E. Pettersson1.110.2507%0
ANA T. Luneau1.120.4217%0
ANA D. Helleson1.000.3306%0
VAN M. Sasson1.000.30014%0
VAN J. Oleksiak0.920.2515%0
ANA P. Mintyukov0.920.3117%0
VAN P. Cotter0.910.33116%0
VAN J. Quillan0.810.1907%0
VAN Z. Buium0.820.3106%0
ANA N. Warren0.700.2902%0
ANA T. Mitchell0.600.1603%0
VAN V. Mancini0.600.1503%0

Shots on goal: 22 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.