Game Recap: BOS 3, WSH 2 (SO), March 14, 2026

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Game Recap

BOS3

Final/SOSat, Mar 14, 2026Every game that night

WSH2

BOS beat WSH 3-2 in a shootout, with the chances close: 3.18 expected goals to 2.95. C. McAvoy led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). D. Pastrnak had 8 shots on goal against our projection of 3.7. J. Swayman stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
BOS	0	1	1	1	3
WSH	0	1	1	0	2

2nd 1:15WSHM. Roy0.05 xG
2nd 11:57BOSC. McAvoy0.05 xG
3rd 3:12WSHR. Sandin0.01 xG
3rd 10:09BOSC. McAvoy0.09 xG

Team Stats

BOSWSH

34Shots on goal28

3.18Expected goals2.95

62Shot attempts52

235v5 shots on goal19

0/4Power play0/3

19Hits20

14Blocked shots12

10Penalty minutes12

15Giveaways14

4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 3.18 xGWSH 2.95 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS32 on goal, 2 scored

WSH26 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	1	1	8	1	1	+1	0	24:23	6:20
P. Zacha	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	19:01	5:30
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	15:40	1:44
E. Lindholm	C	0	0	0	5	0	0	-2	0	20:16	4:51
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	19:23	5:42
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	18:36	1:52
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	16:03	0:45
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	+1	0	14:02	1:29
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10:37	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	2	10:28	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	2	3	1	-2	0	10:06	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	7:25	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	2	0	2	3	0	2	+2	2	27:44	5:54
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	2	20:21	0:16
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	20:05	1:37
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	19:07	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1	0	18:52	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	-2	2	17:51	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	28	26	2	.929	65:00	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

WSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
H. Lapierre	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	12:10	0:00
T. Wilson	RW	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	23:05	4:22
A. Protas	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	20:49	1:37
D. Strome	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	20:21	4:23
P. Dubois	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	2	19:48	4:18
A. Ovechkin	LW	0	0	0	3	1	0	+1	0	15:47	5:37
C. McMichael	LW	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	2	15:11	1:42
A. Beauvillier	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	4	14:11	0:00
R. Leonard	RW	0	0	0	1	5	0	-1	0	12:58	1:38
J. Sourdif	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	+1	0	11:36	0:00
B. Duhaime	LW	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	10:00	0:00
E. Frank	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7:32	0:00
R. Sandin	D	1	1	2	4	0	4	+2	0	23:19	1:19
M. Roy	D	1	0	1	1	2	2	+1	0	25:26	0:23
J. Chychrun	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	-1	0	23:52	4:41
M. Fehérváry	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	20:21	0:00
T. van Riemsdyk	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	15:49	0:00
T. Liljegren	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	15:45	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
L. Thompson	34	32	2	.941	65:00	OT loss
C. Lindgren	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak13:46M. Geekie13:41F. Minten13:46

Line 2V. Arvidsson11:03C. Mittelstadt11:55P. Zacha10:57

Line 3T. Jeannot10:06M. Khusnutdinov11:11E. Lindholm9:45

Line 4S. Kuraly8:09M. Eyssimont7:25M. Kastelic7:44

Pair 1A. Peeke15:41N. Zadorov12:45

Pair 2H. Lindholm15:03M. Lohrei14:49

Pair 3C. McAvoy15:37J. Aspirot13:37

WSH

Line 1T. Wilson13:38H. Lapierre12:10P. Dubois12:51

Line 2D. Strome12:46A. Protas12:30R. Leonard9:48

Line 3A. Beauvillier11:00J. Sourdif10:51A. Ovechkin10:10

Line 4B. Duhaime8:05E. Frank7:32C. McMichael8:40

Pair 1J. Chychrun15:59T. Liljegren13:52

Pair 2R. Sandin15:46M. Roy17:21

Pair 3T. Riemsdyk12:09M. Fehérváry11:52

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 3.1, WSH 3.3	BOS 3, WSH 2
Total goals	6.4	5
Shots on goal	BOS 26.4, WSH 29.7	BOS 34, WSH 28
Win chance	WSH 55%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.7	8	1.26	1	40%	0
WSH A. Ovechkin	3.0	3	0.85	0	35%	0
WSH J. Chychrun	2.8	0	0.75	0	22%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.5	0	0.56	1	21%	0
WSH T. Wilson	2.3	1	0.83	0	31%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.2	1	0.73	0	29%	0
WSH A. Protas	2.0	3	0.72	0	24%	0
WSH A. Beauvillier	2.0	0	0.38	0	16%	0
WSH R. Leonard	2.0	1	0.53	0	18%	0
WSH D. Strome	1.9	1	0.82	0	25%	0
WSH P. Dubois	1.9	1	0.69	0	23%	0
WSH C. McMichael	1.9	4	0.54	0	20%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	5	0.64	0	22%	0
WSH J. Sourdif	1.6	2	0.49	0	19%	0
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.6	0	0.23	0	10%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.6	3	0.62	2	11%	2
BOS P. Zacha	1.6	1	0.60	1	19%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.5	1	0.45	0	19%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.4	2	0.37	0	8%	0
WSH E. Frank	1.4	1	0.37	0	16%	0
WSH M. Roy	1.3	1	0.31	1	5%	1
WSH R. Sandin	1.2	4	0.41	2	6%	1
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	3	0.52	0	17%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.1	0	0.25	0	7%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.1	2	0.36	0	8%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.1	1	0.22	0	10%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.1	1	0.21	0	9%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.0	2	0.34	0	13%	0
WSH M. Fehérváry	1.0	0	0.33	0	7%	0
WSH T. Liljegren	1.0	1	0.25	0	5%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	0.9	2	0.24	0	10%	0
WSH H. Lapierre	0.9	1	0.27	1	8%	0
WSH B. Duhaime	0.9	2	0.17	0	9%	0
BOS A. Peeke	0.8	2	0.18	0	4%	0
WSH T. Riemsdyk	0.7	2	0.22	0	3%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.7	0	0.22	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.