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Game Recap
BUF1
FinalSun, Dec 31, 2023Every game that night
OTT5

OTT beat BUF 5-1, with the chances close: 3.14 expected goals to 2.72. BUF outshot OTT 46 to 31. T. Chabot led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). A. Forsberg stopped 45 of 46.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1001
OTT2215
  1. 1st 6:51OTTJ. ChychrunPP0.16 xG
  2. 1st 12:38OTTZ. MacEwen0.04 xG
  3. 1st 19:46BUFT. Thompson0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 7:18OTTD. Kubalik0.11 xG
  5. 2nd 19:44OTTM. Kastelic0.06 xG
  6. 3rd 15:16OTTA. ZubEN0.21 xG

Team Stats

BUFOTT
46Shots on goal31
2.72Expected goals3.14
74Shot attempts53
345v5 shots on goal25
0/3Power play1/1
33Hits24
13Blocked shots17
16Penalty minutes20
13Giveaways14
6Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.72 xGOTT 3.14 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTT goal, 6:51OTT goal, 12:38BUF goal, 19:46OTT goal, 7:18OTT goal, 19:44OTT goal, 15:16

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF46 on goal, 1 scored
OTT31 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW011300+1019:313:53
T. ThompsonC101200+1019:223:56
C. MittelstadtC000210-1020:203:56
A. TuchRW000142+1019:233:54
J. GreenwayLW000361-1015:580:00
Z. BensonLW0002100015:552:02
J. QuinnRW000121-3015:222:04
J. PeterkaRW000400-4014:502:04
D. CozensC000621-4013:572:00
K. OkposoRW0002200410:560:02
P. KrebsC00030101010:140:02
Z. GirgensonsC000132009:260:02
R. DahlinD000642-2225:444:33
M. SamuelssonD000211-2019:270:00
O. PowerD0000100018:031:30
R. JohnsonD000100-1017:250:00
H. JokiharjuD000341+1016:510:02
C. CliftonD000421-1014:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi30264.86758:04Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

OTT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. GirouxRW011200+1018:580:20
R. GreigC011000+1013:070:00
Z. MacEwenRW101130+2011:310:00
M. KastelicC101531+2210:450:00
D. KubalikLW1011000010:420:20
T. StützleC000201-1019:150:38
D. BathersonRW0000310216:520:38
P. KellyC000132+1015:270:00
J. NorrisC0002120014:240:38
V. TarasenkoRW0002000014:140:20
B. TkachukLW00032101412:110:38
T. ChabotD022200+2221:010:38
A. ZubD101322+1021:500:00
J. ChychrunD101312+1021:180:20
J. SandersonD011043+1019:150:20
J. Bernard-DockerD011110+1017:010:00
E. BrannstromD011300+2015:130:00
T. HamonicD0000120016:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Forsberg46451.97860:00Win
J. Korpisalo000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamDylan Cozens OTT Faces BUF, his team until Mar 20256 SOG
  • Old teamJosh Norris BUF Faces OTT, his team until Mar 20252 SOG
  • HometownJack Quinn BUF Plays in his hometown1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.