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Game Recap
BUF1
FinalSat, Dec 10, 2022Every game that night
PIT3

PIT beat BUF 3-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.60 expected goals to 3.51. S. Crosby led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. DeSmith stopped 37 of 38.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0011
PIT2013
  1. 1st 4:22PITR. RakellPP0.09 xG
  2. 1st 6:51PITS. Crosby0.07 xG
  3. 3rd 11:00BUFP. Krebs0.07 xG
  4. 3rd 18:22PITS. Crosby0.03 xG

Team Stats

BUFPIT
38Shots on goal31
3.51Expected goals2.60
67Shot attempts50
305v5 shots on goal25
0/3Power play1/3
38Hits43
7Blocked shots17
6Penalty minutes6
6Giveaways8
2Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.51 xGPIT 2.60 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdPIT goal, 4:22PIT goal, 6:51BUF goal, 11:00PIT goal, 18:22

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF35 on goal, 1 scored
PIT30 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. KrebsC101210+1012:412:39
Z. GirgensonsC011140+1010:060:05
A. TuchRW000320-1020:063:18
T. ThompsonC000631-1220:053:28
J. PeterkaRW000300-1018:472:25
C. MittelstadtC000230-1018:213:14
D. CozensC000411-1018:023:23
J. QuinnRW000100-1017:512:39
V. OlofssonLW0002100213:382:33
T. JostC0000200012:290:05
K. OkposoRW000011+1011:500:05
R. AsplundC0001100010:520:00
C. FitzgeraldD011130+109:040:00
R. DahlinD000310-1230:194:50
O. PowerD000331-1026:281:11
M. SamuelssonD000381-1022:560:05
K. ClagueD0001420012:510:00
J. BrysonD0002000012:090:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen31283.90358:23Loss
C. Anderson000–0:00

PIT Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. CrosbyC213412+2018:482:15
J. GuentzelC022211+2219:092:12
R. RakellRW101200+1017:572:13
B. RustRW011205+1016:320:41
E. MalkinC0112000014:032:17
T. BluegerC0002100016:120:11
R. PoehlingC0002400014:050:01
B. McGinnLW0002020013:260:00
J. ArchibaldRW0003510012:080:03
J. ZuckerLW000440-1011:590:47
J. CarterC000110-1011:230:36
K. KapanenRW000040-1010:560:39
B. DumoulinD011120+1218:290:00
K. LetangD0000730222:140:52
J. PetryD0000500020:172:10
M. PetterssonD000132+1019:550:01
J. RuttaD000211+1019:080:00
P. JosephD000140-1017:350:12
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. DeSmith38371.97459:44Win
T. Jarry000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJason Zucker BUF Faces PIT, his team until Apr 20234 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.