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Game Recap
BUF6
FinalSat, Nov 4, 2023Every game that night
TOR4

BUF beat TOR 6-4, and the chances backed it up: 5.05 expected goals to 3.05. BUF outshot TOR 41 to 28. M. Marner led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). D. Levi stopped 24 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1236
TOR1124
  1. 1st 12:05TORM. Marner0.14 xG
  2. 1st 16:13BUFJ. PeterkaPP0.06 xG
  3. 2nd 6:28BUFT. ThompsonSH0.27 xG
  4. 2nd 11:22TORA. MatthewsPP0.15 xG
  5. 2nd 11:56BUFJ. Skinner0.09 xG
  6. 3rd 0:17TORA. Matthews0.12 xG
  7. 3rd 3:11BUFJ. Greenway0.22 xG
  8. 3rd 7:26TORA. Matthews0.03 xG
  9. 3rd 12:48BUFA. Tuch0.13 xG
  10. 3rd 18:54BUFA. TuchEN0.95 xG

Team Stats

BUFTOR
41Shots on goal28
5.05Expected goals3.05
64Shot attempts60
315v5 shots on goal15
1/3Power play1/4
22Hits34
18Blocked shots14
8Penalty minutes4
6Giveaways8
9Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 5.05 xGTOR 3.05 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdTOR goal, 12:05BUF goal, 16:13BUF goal, 6:28TOR goal, 11:22BUF goal, 11:56TOR goal, 0:17BUF goal, 3:11TOR goal, 7:26BUF goal, 12:48BUF goal, 18:54

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF41 on goal, 6 scored
TOR27 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW202502-1021:383:01
J. PeterkaRW112400+2018:240:59
T. ThompsonC101700-1421:573:01
C. MittelstadtC011310+3018:473:01
J. SkinnerLW101300-1018:463:01
J. GreenwayLW101562+3217:550:00
V. OlofssonLW011100028:420:45
K. OkposoRW0000020017:140:59
Z. GirgensonsC0004310013:050:00
T. JostC0001110012:500:00
P. KrebsC000100007:500:59
R. DahlinD0113100024:463:01
O. PowerD011012+2024:070:59
C. CliftonD011121+2019:060:00
R. JohnsonD011004+108:200:00
H. JokiharjuD000230-2017:140:14
E. JohnsonD000141+1016:230:00
J. BrysonD000002006:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi28244.85760:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

TOR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. MarnerRW1341500218:114:18
A. MatthewsC3035400018:534:20
W. NylanderRW011500-2019:234:17
C. JarnkrokC011121+2016:131:51
J. TavaresC000310-2019:514:18
T. BertuzziLW0001310016:331:51
D. KampfC000030-1215:020:00
M. DomiC0001210013:581:49
M. KniesLW000000-1012:591:32
N. GregorLW000140-1011:170:18
P. HolmbergRW000210-109:120:21
R. ReavesRW000130-208:590:17
M. RiellyD011322+1026:421:49
M. GiordanoD011206+1022:190:31
J. KlingbergD000101-3025:044:40
T. BrodieD0001020023:040:13
W. LagessonD000030-1012:290:00
M. LajoieD000010-104:540:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Woll40355.87559:23Loss
I. Samsonov000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • HometownOwen Power BUF Plays near home (born in Mississauga)1 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.